This week’s Lingang property market, what happened on the scene.

Editor’s note: This article is from WeChat public account: Really called Lu Jun, (ID: zhenjiaolujun0426)< / a>, author: Rousseau really makes the team, authorized reprint

On August 6th, the new area of ​​the Shanghai Free Trade Zone was “flowered down” in Hong Kong. When the news came out, it was swept away by friends. A lot of people smelled a different taste from this conference.

Visit Shanghai's Lingang property market and want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction

Of course, the content of this circle of friends has always been unbelief, we always believe that the truth is on the scene, so we decided to take a trip with the foot, with the “Litchma”, all the staff, soldiers Divided into three roads, go to this new area of ​​Lingang to find out.

The first thing to say is that the heat is really hot, but the rules have not been released and have not been released. It was discovered at the scene that the rumors were not empty. Despite the heavy rain, many sales offices were still in the market.

A lot of homebuyers are asking questions with their own questions, come and come, and feel the popularity of the sales office in the live video.

According to our current unannounced visits, the hot situation on the spot is true. Many real buyers are signing the contract, but we understand that it is currently eligible for purchase. of.

The sales staff at the sales office told us that the rules have not yet come out, so the purchase restriction has not been released. It still takes 5 years for social security and married, and does not accept the 3 years social security personal identity for buyers.

Before the new zone of the Free Trade Zone was promulgated, is the house selling here?

Let’s take a look at the average price of new homes in Shanghai, Pudong and Lingang in 2013-2019. Visit Shanghai's Lingang property market and want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction

Data Source: Dr. Rabbit APP

We can see that one side faces Hong Kong New City and always follows the trend of the whole city and Pudong area. It is basically Shanghai, Pudong, and Lingang New City, and vice versa. On the other hand, the average unit price level of the port is indeed much lower than the average level of the Shanghai area and the Pudong area.

We have listed 31 new discs in the Lingang New City section in the past year. We can see their changes in the past year through the following chart. It is found that before the new policy was introduced, it was another Some sights.

Visit Shanghai's Lingang property market and want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction

Data Source: Dr. Rabbit APP

First, let’s look at the change in the average transaction price of new homes. The average price in the entire port area is from 15,000 to 42,000. Since the floor plan is basically based on the demand of only 90m2, the total price is now controlled within 2,500-300,000.

How are these 31 properties sold in the past year? We look at the heat map, the darker the color, the more new sets of sales in that month. Visit Shanghai's Lingang property market and want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction

Data Source: Dr. Rabbit APP

It can be said that such sales in the weekdays are not high, and some properties can even be said to be terrible.

The reason is also very simple: due to the remoteness, although the quality of many properties is very good, but buyers will always have many concerns. The old and small city in the urban area and the quality community in the outer suburbs will always make buyers feel contemplative.

TOP10 of the specific monthly sales volume: (The first four digits of the new house name are: year/month)

Exploring the Shanghai Lingang property market, want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction

Data Source: Dr. Rabbit APP

seems to sell a good number of old faces, always a few old faces, Ten fingers can basically count.

For example: Drips Lake Xinyuan, Dongpu original, East Asia Sunshine, Vanke Golden Mile Blue Bay, sea wind and white. Nowadays, the entire sector of the property market changes It’s getting stronger.

Today’s real estate market depends on policy or policy. On the second day after the announcement of the good news, the search volume of Hong Kong Vanke Golden Mile Blue Bay and the drip lake Xinyuan in Lingang was almost twice as high as the average, which was the highest value in the past month.

Visit Shanghai's Lingang property market and want to relax the market performance after the purchase restrictionNot to mention the port. The number of searches nationwide was 6,193, which is nearly 6 times the daily average of 1024. Since then, the development of the port has touched everyone’s heart. Visit Shanghai's Lingang property market and want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction The sales situation is also proportional to the search heat. We are constantly told in the process of stepping on the plate: After the sale, there is no one left, only the first floor, the second floor, the top floor, and only the next villa. In the X days, you must pay the down payment to sign the contract. Visit the Shanghai Lingang property market and want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction

Of course, there is indeed a hot component, and we understand the marketing level of different projects and use this opportunity to create a sense of tension on the spot.

After the announcement of the Lingang Free Trade Zone, we were still relatively deserted in the first two months of the China Construction and Poly projects. The typhoon days were also crowded.

Another example is the 2w unit price of Greentown Chengyuan. The total price is 140w. The community also has a high-performance disk with a swimming pool. It will be liquidated the next day. The latest caseThe news is that it will be opened in September-October.

So who is buying the port?

We found from the process of unannounced visits that whether it is the first time for a new Shanghai native to buy a home, or for the elderly, it is still optimistic about the development of the port. There are two main types of customers:

The first group of people are Shanghai natives, first-time buyers; in addition, there are many elderly people who leave their urban homes to their children to improve and live in their homes,

In addition, some Shanghai household buyers are optimistic about the development of the port area and choose to purchase two sets of investments.

The second group of people is the new Shanghainese, which is simply the mainstream of the New Deal. However, due to the specific rules have not yet been introduced. So, for now, this part of the demand customer is not as much as the local demand.

This is not the first time that the port has become a cusp.

As early as September 29, 2013, the day of the official listing of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, Lingang had a close relationship with the Free Trade Zone.

The earliest delineated 28.78 square kilometers, directly related to the real estate projects, mainly concentrated in Pudong Chuansha, Waigaoqiao and the original Nanhui Airport Town (now Zhuqiao), Lingang New City Four plates.

The hotness of the time has now become old news, but it still has traces to follow.

Visit Shanghai's Lingang property market and want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction In fact, at that time, the property market in Lingang was exposed by the surrounding free trade zone, and it has really felt the dividend brought by the policy.
We look at a set of new home supply and demand ratio data for August 13th, 19th and 19th.

Exploring the Shanghai Lingang property market, want to relax the market performance after the purchase restriction

Data Source: Dr. Rabbit APP

Every time there is good news, it will always be in short supply. Among them, 13 years (0.85), 17 years (0.86) between 0.8-1.2, the cityThe field is in short supply; and 16 years (0.58) can be said to be a difficult room.

In the 14 years and the last two years, the overall supply of Lingang is still much higher than the demand. With the opening of Line 16, some of them are close to the subway and backed by the school district, the quality of the products can stand out from the crowd. Most of them are still unattended.

It is clear that the effects of the free trade zone in the previous two years have not yet been fully realized, and each time there is a situation of insufficient stamina. So it will inevitably lead to doubts. How long will this bonus last? What kind of changes can this port construction bring to us?

This time the positioning has an updated height and meaning: refer to the management of the special economic zone.

This is completely different from the traditional free trade zone concept. In the future, more institutionalized reforms and innovations will be realized in the new districts, and it will cover a wider area of ​​radiation, and even the Yangtze River Delta linkage. This is obviously a big game under the government. Therefore, the energy injection into the region is still relatively large. For a long time to come, the heat of the port will always be there.

In essence, this policy will drive the entire port, and the transaction volume will increase a lot, because the demand will be concentrated to the port, especially those who do not have a ticket.

But I don’t think there will be any obvious fluctuations in housing prices, because for Shanghai, in fact, the issuance of pre-sale certificates has entered a stage of strict control, and it has been completely implemented for two or three years, in the short term. There won’t be big changes.

So the whole free trade zone is going to develop the future property market. I think it will be at such a stage as the price level. If you happen to work in the port, you just have the demand for home ownership. You can see it as soon as possible, and the house price will rise in the short term. This is hard to say, but maybe the house you like, the location may not be there, this is a more important point.

This weekend, I still insisted on going to Lingang for a trip. I don’t want to go. Line 16 (Longyang Road to Drip Lake Section) has been shut down. The high speed of this wind and waves is not safe.

The construction of the Lingang Free Trade Zone is not a one-off event, but please don’t panic. The best Lingang Free Trade Zone has just begun.