This article is fromEconomic Observer Online OF: Liang Feng Tong, chrysanthemum weeks, from the east FIG head IC

After November 1st, Beijing will adjust the Beijing-based management policy for foreign-licensed buses, which means that one of every 7 vehicles driving in Beijing is about to face 3/4 per month. Time cannot be used in the boundaries of Beijing.

When the deadline is approaching, Xiao Zhou finally decides to sell his dazzle.

It’s not easy for Xiao Zhou to make this decision, because this car has been with him for more than three years. He took him and his girlfriend to Beijing and Hubei homes for 40,000 weekends around Beijing. The mileage of kilometers carries a lot of memories.

“What about reluctantly, I have been dragging on for so long, and the deadline is too late to be dragged.”

But he had to make this decision. After November 1 this year, Beijing will adjust the Beijing-based management policy for foreign-made passenger cars. The e-cards that Xiao Zhou’s Zhixuan hangs are directly adjusted and will end the past. “Freedom” is the day of driving in Beijing.

According to the regulations, each foreign car can apply for a maximum of 12 passes per year to the Beijing Pass. The maximum validity period for each entry to the Beijing Pass is 7 days, which means that the annual foreign car can be in the restricted area of ​​Beijing. Open 84 days inside.

Although it is not completely inaccessible, for the office workers who use cars in Beijing almost every day, 84 days is not enough. Even if they want to raise a car or park, it is a burden to own a car.

But there are policies and countermeasures. The foreign car owners will launch a vigorous and vigorous road rights battle under the most stringent policy.

They have plans to take a taxi, carpool, or even take a scooter to work, or rent a Beijing license at a high price. Some netizens gave a “strongest response strategy””It is pointed out that if there is two foreign number plates under a family name, 12 times a year to enter Beijing, 7 days, two cars can do 168 days. When 168 days are full, spend a few hundred dollars to transfer the two cars.” Under the name of other family members, they can do 168 days, so that they can get into Beijing for 336 days. At the same time, some people decided not to endure the policy of survival, and decided to leave Beijing City where they have lived for several years. /p>

As of the end of May this year, the number of motor vehicles in Beijing (Beijing) was 6.21 million, while the foreign car was about One million vehicles, that is, one out of every seven vehicles driving in Beijing, will soon face the dilemma of being unable to use it on the Beijing border three to four times a month. Their owners are all anxious, and various decisions and decisions to change their lives are also being made…

“This is the last straw that made me leave Beijing”

After understanding the policy, Xiao Zhou first planned to set up a “car alliance” with two other friends who hang foreign license plates. The three people shared one car in order, so that they could get 252 days in total. The time of entering Beijing. But after thinking about it, Xiao Zhou feels that this way is not realistic. “The three of us are working in different places in Beijing. If we really want to share, the biggest problem every day is who will compromise.”

There is no other way to do it. Hebei’s stone page was discharged to the new energy vehicle by its sister before the policy was released. At that time, they already had a fuel truck with a plaque, but they saw that some people predicted that the new energy vehicle would be in the future. When I was nervous, I started to feel lucky, because as far as she knows, the number of new energy vehicles is now 2024.

Xiao Zhang, also from Hebei, chose to buy a Beijing-based brand (ie buy out a certain period of time in Beijing license plate use rights, purchased The vehicle is registered under the name of the indicator owner). After staying in Beijing for six years, he did not expect to be able to shake the number. So two years ago, he bought a piece of Beijing-branded house. At that time, the market price of the license was about 60,000 yuan. But now Xiao Zhou went to the market to inquire, let alone the back of the card, the market of the rental license plate market has risen, the market price has doubled to about 20,000 yuan per year, it is not cost-effective. “My dazzle has only bought more than 70,000, and the money for renting a license plate for a few years has gone out.”

Wei, who bought a BMW 3 Series last year and hangs his home license, is also anxious.After easing the policy, the car was inconvenient. He bought a motorcycle first. “Drive is still the best choice. It is a test for me to ride the motorcycle winter, but the taxi fare is too high.” At the same time, he also Did not give up the shake number: “Look at luck, the opportunity to shake is very embarrassing.”

But in this “most powerful order in history”, there are also a group of smart businessmen and unexpected gainers.

For example, there has been a sudden hot sale in the pickup market. At the same time, Changan and Jietu also launched two models, namely Changan Auchan X70A and Jietu x70. This type of passenger car has been converted into a closed car that has both the comfort and enjoyment of the passenger car. The staff at the 4S store said that this is the model built for these restricted markets in Beijing, because they are not within the range of the passenger car.

From 6:00 to 23:00 every day, small trucks that can travel on roads outside the Fifth Ring Road have become the first choice for Xiao Zhou. He finally chose a Wuling Rongguang, the price is controlled at about 50,000 yuan. “Price is its biggest advantage, because I am only using it, the pickup is of course the first choice but the price is too high.”

But after buying it, Xiao Zhou regretted it. Because according to the original idea, after Xiao Zhou was planning to implement the policy, he would drive his Wuling glory to the fifth ring every day and then walk to the company. However, it is worth noting that in addition to the limited number of days on the road, the parking of foreign license vehicles will also be restricted.

The New Deal stipulates that, within a certain range of urban roads above the branch road level, the number of days in which the Beijing Pass can be processed in the current year is deducted according to the number of days of parking. Those who fail to apply for the Beijing Pass or the Beijing Pass to enter the above-mentioned range beyond the valid period shall be deemed to be illegal and will be punished by the traffic control department according to law.

“There will be a lot of people coming into Beijing by these means, so many foreign cars, parking will definitely become very difficult.”

After which road didn’t work, Xiao Zhou decided to move ahead of Beijing, which means he needs to sell two cars at a discount in the short term. “I originally planned to make a result before leaving Beijing, but now this restriction policy may become the last straw that forced me to leave Beijing.”

Under the traffic red line warning: More new policies will be introduced?

Because Beijing has implemented the lottery policy since 2010, it has become a helpless choice for many car owners, as with Xiao Zhou. Statistics show that there were 700,000 foreign cars in Beijing every week for Beijing to enter the Beijing. If you don’t need to apply for a Beijing-based vehicle outside the Sixth Ring Road, there are more than 1 million foreign-owned vehicles in Beijing.

This MayThe number of motor vehicles in Beijing has reached 6.21 million. This figure is not only the highest in the country, but also exceeds the red line in Beijing that must control motor vehicles within 6.2 million vehicles in 2019. And the millions of out-of-town vehicles have undoubtedly added extra pressure to the already saturated Beijing traffic. Therefore, some people believe that this new limit will help ease urban congestion in Beijing.

The “most restrictive line” is also considered a key measure for Beijing to achieve clean air targets. Previously, the relevant person in charge of the Beijing Municipal Environmental Protection Bureau introduced the task of air pollution management according to the Beijing Urban Master Plan (2016~2035) By 2020, the annual average concentration of PM2.5 will drop to about 56 μg/m3, and by 2035, the quality of the atmospheric environment will be fundamentally improved.

Guo Jifu, Dean of the Beijing Transportation Development Research Institute, said at the beginning of this year’s electric vehicle hundred people meeting that to achieve this goal means that the scale of Beijing fuel vehicles must be reduced, and the amount of ownership must be reduced by at least 1.8 million to 400. About ten thousand. At the same time, the outer car that travels in the Beijing area and produces emissions seems to have been cleaned up “as it should”.

Unlike the strict restriction and clean-up of fuel vehicles, the Beijing government’s attitude toward new energy vehicles is relatively open. A few days ago, the Beijing Ministry of Finance and the Traffic Commission jointly issued a document to encourage the addition and renewal of the network to replace the vehicle with a pure electric vehicle. The industry expects that about 70,000 taxis will be replaced in the next two to three years. At the same time, recently, Beijing Netcom will release 26,000 new energy vehicle indicators on October 20th. Due to the similar time, it is considered that it may be a supporting policy for outbound vehicles. Although the news was verified by the Economic Observer reporter and denied by the Beijing Municipal Transportation Commission and the municipal government, it was still considered reasonable by the industry.

“Two policies, one step backwards. From a rational analysis point of view, it is entirely possible to (for supporting policies), this is A good solution, although it is inconvenient for some car owners to be restricted, but the overall situation is more beneficial than the disadvantages – it can solve traffic congestion and defend the blue sky, and can also promote the development of new energy vehicles. Industry senior analyst Mei Songlin told reporters.

The research released by the Beijing Transportation Development Research Institute shows that by the end of 2018, the number of new energy vehicles in Beijing was 225,000 and the number of fuel vehicles was 5.86 million. The ratio between the two is about 1:26. Li Xiang, director of the Atmospheric Environment Division of the Beijing Eco-environment Bureau, said at the Clean Air Action Forum this year that by 2020, the city’s new energy will beThe number of vehicles in the source will reach 400,000.

But whether it is a new energy vehicle replacement or a restricted purchase, it will not stop the growth of the total number of motor vehicles in Beijing. Resolving congestion will be a continuing social issue. According to the prediction of the Beijing Transportation Development Research Institute, the capacity of Beijing road network is between 6.5 million and 7 million, and according to the current annual increase of 100,000 indicators in Beijing, Beijing’s traffic capacity will reach the upper limit within 10 years. . In addition to the strict implementation of the foreign car that will be implemented this time, domestic experts have also proposed to collect traffic congestion fees and issue exclusive licenses within the three rings, but they have not been implemented because of opposition from the relevant parties.

Some experts have said that relying on restrictions and management can slightly improve the traffic congestion problem in Beijing, but it cannot solve the problem fundamentally. If you want to significantly improve Beijing’s traffic, you also need to rely on public transportation and the reduction of Beijing’s resident population. In particular, through the vigorous development of public transportation and intelligent transportation, the use of technologies such as autonomous driving to bring about a significant increase in travel efficiency should be accelerated.

In terms of intelligent transportation, experts have recently proposed a “traffic reservation system”. Guo Jifu also said at the 2018 electric car 100 people meeting, “We are all queuing on the road during transportation. Why can’t we queue at home? I have a bold idea. The future transportation system may be an appointment system, or an electronic ticket system. “But he also pointed out that a big city like Beijing, if it is to travel in an orderly manner, means to set a travel timetable for tens of millions of people. In theory, this will be a super problem and needs to be discussed continuously.

This article is fromEconomic Observer Online OF: Liang Feng Tong, chrysanthemum weeks, from the east FIG head IC