Article from WeChat public account:DT Finance (ID: DTcaijing), author: Kai yuan Huang, from FIG title: Oriental IC
The national football team lost both.
In the 20th World Cup qualifiers last night, the national football team lost 1:2 to Syria. In the first 30 minutes, both sides scored a goal to tie the score. Just after the fans ignited long-lost hopes, after 46 minutes, Zhang Linyi’s own goal in the penalty area once again gave the victory to Syria.
After the game, Chinese fans shouted back on the sidelines, and coach Pirie also said that he did not play to request to resign. In the face of anger, the Chinese Football Association has to come back to apologize again…
From 2002, the national football team was broken into dust by three zero seals. Now, for 17 years, the World Cup dream of Chinese football has broken into habit, but people still can’t help but ask questions about repeating – China Why can’t football? Why are China’s 1.4 billion people unable to choose 11 clubs to play?
DT does not know what kind of technology can be counted as “will play”, but football players who want to serve in the Super League should be regarded as China’s “most likely to play.” Studying the problems of Chinese football may be able to start from the players.
Where are the people who are the most likely to play in China?
DT has manually collected data on players and leagues: In the 2019 Super League, there were 499 players in 16 teams, excluding all foreign aid and several naturalized (Immigration) Players, and about 20 U23 levels (Under 23 years old) Unable to search for birthplace due to lack of exposure Player, meWe obtained the geographical distribution of the following 397 people, and compared the data of the previous two years, the following figure was obtained.
In terms of the total number of players contributed, Liaoning has won a total of 86 active Super League players in one province, which is equivalent to the total of 770 million people who contributed 87 in the last 15 provinces. It is also the second place. Doubled in Shandong.
In addition to Liaoning, Shandong and Hubei have occupied the top three for two consecutive years, which shows that these three provinces are absolutely leading in football talents. In contrast, the four provinces of Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Qinghai and Tibet were collectively absent for three consecutive years.
Liaoning, Shandong, the province with the highest per capita height, the Chinese Super League players are more easy to understand, Jilin is also ranked among the best, but the same high-ranking Heilongjiang people have completely disappeared in the Super League. In contrast, the Hubei people with a southerner character in the game took out the suffocating field of the college entrance examination, and the Chinese army on the Chinese Super League should not be underestimated.
According to the rankings in the above picture, it is basically certain to compare the average height of the provinces. The geographical difference of race is not the decisive factor of football level.
Chinese football map three-level ladder
Comparing the changes in the distribution of Chinese players in the past three years, DT Jun found that although each province and city is due to local factors such as promotion or downgrade, and individual players’ advance and retreat, the rankings will be ups and downs, but the big pattern is basically stable. of. Therefore, DT Jun further used the number of players in the total number of players to roughly measure the strength of a local football talent, and derived the pattern of Chinese football.
The distribution status of top players is weak in the east and weak in the north and strong in the south. The top ten provinces and cities, the eastern coast accounted for seven, the central and western regions only three, while the eastern provinces, northeast and north China accounted for five, the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta only two.
Why did this pattern form? DT Jun thought about it with his toes. He speculated that high-level talents were highly correlated with football training, so he found relevant data as a reference.
In recent years, the development of campus football has been highly valued. Taking into account the time difference between training talents, DT Jun selected the list of national football featured schools by the end of 2015 for a total of 8,627, of which 5,000 were qualified for campus football designated schools before 2014 – they can be said It has trained almost all the football talents in China.
Unexpectedly, there is almost no significant correlation between the number of football schools and Chinese Super League players, and even a little reverse correlation. If viewed from the sub-sector, nearly half of the 10 provinces with the largest number of featured football schools belong to the central region, and 7 of the 10 football schools count down to the eastern region.
DT Jun learned in the “China Football Industry and Culture Development Report” published by Tsinghua University Press that according to the two factors of geographical environment and economic development level, scholars suggest that China should be divided into East and Middle according to the level of economic development. The three major western regions draw on the development experiences of different countries and adopt different strategies to develop football. Simply speaking, it is the popularization of the main football culture in the west; the central part is to promote grassroots football and the campus football system; and the east is to encourage the establishment of football clubs, establish corresponding supporting facilities, and fully integrate with the international community.
Places like Henan and Anhui, although there are not many professional teams,