The stability of the real estate industry is the mainstream.
Editor’s note: This article is from WeChat public account: China Online Real Estate, (ID: housechinawx) , authorized to reprint
I. Real estate development investment completion
In January-October 2019, the national real estate development investment was 1,090.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%, and the growth rate dropped by 0.2 percentage points from January to September. Among them, the residential investment was 806.66 billion yuan, an increase of 14.6%, and the growth rate dropped by 0.3 percentage points.
In January-October, the investment in real estate development in the eastern region was 576.15 billion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year. The growth rate was 0.2 percentage points lower than that in January-September. The investment in the central region was 228.22 billion yuan, up 10.0%, and the growth rate was flat. The regional investment was 2,548.8 billion yuan, an increase of 15.7%, and the growth rate dropped by 0.5 percentage points; the investment in the northeast region was 457.9 billion yuan, an increase of 9.5%, and the growth rate dropped by 0.4 percentage points.
From January to October, the construction area of real estate development enterprises was 854.82 million square meters, up 9.0% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 0.3 percentage points higher than that in January-September. Among them, the residential construction area was 598.802 million square meters, an increase of 10.4%. The newly started housing area was 185.634 million square meters, an increase of 10.0%, and the growth rate accelerated by 1.4 percentage points. Among them, the newly started residential area was 1,369.37 million square meters, an increase of 10.5%. The completed area of housing was 542.11 million square meters, down 5.5%, and the decline was narrowed by 3.1 percentage points. Among them, the residential completion area was 384.74 million square meters, down 5.5%.
From January to October, the land acquisition area of real estate development enterprises was 183.83 million square meters, down 16.3% year-on-year. The decline was 3.9 percentage points lower than that in January-September; the land transaction price was 99.21 billion yuan, down 15.2%, and the decline was narrowed. 3.0 percentage points.
Second, commercial housing sales and for sale
From January to October, the sales area of commercial housing was 133.251 million square meters. The growth rate was negative from positive to negative for the first time this year, up 0.1% year-on-year, and down 0.1% from January to September. Among them, the sales area of residential buildings increased by 1.5%, the sales area of office buildings decreased by 11.9%, and the sales area of commercial business buildings decreased by 14.0%. Commercial housing sales124.417 billion yuan, an increase of 7.3%, and the growth rate accelerated by 0.2 percentage points. Among them, residential sales increased by 10.8%, office building sales decreased by 11.5%, and commercial business premises sales decreased by 13.4%.
From January to October, the sales area of commercial housing in the eastern region was 52.415 million square meters, down 2.1% year-on-year. The decline was 0.8 percentage points lower than that in January-September; the sales amount was 6.5844 billion yuan, up 6.8%, and the growth rate was 0.8. percentage point. The sales area of commercial housing in the central region was 37.96 million square meters, an increase of 0.6%, and the growth rate accelerated by 0.1 percentage points; the sales volume was 271.18 billion yuan, an increase of 6.8%, and the growth rate dropped by 0.4 percentage points. The sales area of commercial housing in the western region was 368.86 million square meters, an increase of 3.8%, and the growth rate dropped by 0.8 percentage points; the sales volume was 266.11 billion yuan, an increase of 10.1%, and the growth rate dropped by 0.5 percentage points. The sales area of commercial housing in Northeast China was 60.9 million square meters, down 5.0%, and the decline was narrowed by 0.9 percentage points; the sales volume was 484.4 billion yuan, an increase of 3.3%, and the growth rate accelerated by 0.8 percentage points.
At the end of October, the saleable area of commercial housing was 493.23 million square meters, a decrease of 230,000 square meters from the end of September. Among them, the area for sale of residential buildings decreased by 1.25 million square meters, the area for sale of office buildings increased by 90,000 square meters, and the area for sale of commercial business buildings decreased by 170,000 square meters.
III. The funds in place for real estate development enterprises
In January-October, real estate development enterprises received funds of 1,455.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%, and the growth rate dropped by 0.1 percentage points from January to September. Among them, domestic loans were 2,122.8 billion yuan, up 7.9%; foreign capital utilization was 13.1 billion yuan, up 63.2%; self-raised funds were 4,699.6 million yuan, up 3.3%; deposits and advance receipts were 4,916.3 billion yuan, up 9.4%; personal mortgage loans were 2,213.7 billion Yuan, an increase of 14.1%.
Zhang Dawei, chief market analyst of Zhongyuan Real Estate, believes that:
According to the data, as long as the initial turnover in the last two months of 2019 does not suddenly fall, and the decline does not exceed 25%, the market turnover of more than 15 trillion in 2019 will be a foregone conclusion, according to the trend of 2019. It is expected to create an annual sales record of nearly 16 trillion real estate in the whole year! The stability of the real estate market is the mainstream.
The 28-year-old Dean of the Institute of Housing Research Institute Zhang Bo believes that:
Under the background of market cooling, overall stabilityIt will remain the last two months of the 2019 megatrend. It is expected that there will be no significant fluctuations in the transaction volume of commercial housing, but the market confidence index may continue to fall. According to the survey data of 58 Anju online platform, the confidence index of buyers decreased by 4.2% in October, broker confidence index 10 The month-on-month decreased by 0.6%.