article from: to create, author: Sun Songlin (Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, IEEE Senior Member, China Mobile, China Unicom, China Telecom expert technical guidance) < / span>

In the last issue, we shared About the deployment of 5G communication network at Vulcan Mountain Hospital , this live note will organize the following:

1. How does the epidemic affect the 5G industry chain?

2. How can the short-term outbreak scenario be used for reference in the future?

3. Which industries will further reduce dependence on people in the future?

The impact of this epidemic on the 5G industry is obvious, mainly reflected in two aspects:

First, production delays by upstream device and equipment manufacturers;

Second, the operator’s construction is postponed.

The epidemic led to the suspension of the gathering of people. It has hit hard on the labor-intensive electronics manufacturing industry. The factory resumption time has been repeatedly delayed, which has caused delays in supply. In addition, the logistics capacity is also weakening. It is no worse than worse, which has caused delays in equipment production and network construction.

In addition, Because of the epidemic, the flight between China and the United States was interrupted, and some device shipments and product shipments were delayed. For operators, due to the closed management of the community, the upgrade and construction of the base station is delayed. There are still some impacts on the industry chain, and we can only work hard to make up for it later.

01. It is the mission of 5G to explore applications and cultivate user habits

Which industries will be disrupted by 5G?

First, we need to understand the mission of 5G. The odd generation of mobile communications alsoIt is 1G, 3G, and 5G. It is responsible for exploring the application and cultivating user habits to enhance industrial awareness. The even-numbered generations of 2G, 4G, and 6G amplify profits by cultivating good user habits and industry cognition that has reached consensus.

Mobile communication development history

In the second and fourth generations, we can clearly see the great development of China’s communications, but the economic benefits of the first-generation “big brother” and the third generation are not so obvious. 5G is also being explored and applied, and the outbreak of this epidemic really has some reference for the exploration and development of many services. Such as online office, online education, cloud games and so on.

In SARS 17 years ago, two applications have also exploded- View frequency conferencing and e-commerce . After 2003, e-commerce has indeed achieved very great development. Of course, the development of e-commerce also benefits from many factors such as mobile payment. This year’s epidemic is another test for e-commerce, and this time it is the supply capacity, such as logistics.

The current logistics supply capacity is SF, JD.com and China Post. Therefore, our understanding of e-commerce today may be combined with new retail. In addition to logistics, we also have to compete with outlets.

02. The scene is a summary of the usage habits

Summarize a few scenes in this epidemic. The first one is online live broadcast, online education and online collaborative office under massive concurrent scenarios.

Online office is the choice of most companies today

We have repeatedly delayed the start of work for various reasons. We can only use online methods for collaborative office and teaching. This produced a massive concurrency scenario . This is a test for the communication network itself, but a greater test for the application. Another is the delivery of goods in an unmanned scene. As mentioned earlier, to prevent contact in the hospital, 5G medical robots are used to deliver.

These scenarios are short-term and do not exist for long. They are due to the particularity of the epidemic and are not a typical scenario.

Similar to the video conferencing application of SARS in 2003, because SARS should also avoid contact, video conferencing has to be used instead of the meeting. After SARS, video conferencing has not been promoted on a large scale, but it does not mean that it is meaningless. One of the important functions is to let everyone get used to and know that we can use video conferencing to complete a lot of work and no longer exclude it. it.

Before 2003, video conference systems and voice conference systems already existed in large numbers. Since the 90’s, video standards have made a lot of standards for carrier-grade video conferencing, but everyone has been rejecting them for various reasons and has not done so. After SARS in 2003, everyone did not reject it, and it is also used in large quantities, but it has not become a need. This is a very important phenomenon.

The epidemic situation is the same. We should summarize and summarize the special scenes under the epidemic situation. Although it is not just needed, will we extend it after the epidemic situation? Some typical scenarios require us to dig deeper.

What is a scene?

Scenes cannot be considered from a fixed time and a fixed place.

If you use a fixed time, then you will consider “tide”. We are in the office during the day and go home at night. Like transportation networks, communication networksThe network also has this tidal effect, so someone will come up with an office scene. But in actual applications, you will find that this is just a change in traffic, not an application change.

So in more cases, scenes are a summary of the usage habits, and they are not necessarily limited to time and place.

For example, Trash time , this is a typical scenario. The time for everyone to wait for a bus, take the subway, or take a bus is relatively short, and the environment is not particularly quiet, and they cannot work quietly and for a long time. Moreover, not everyone has the ability to break up larger tasks into smaller ones. This kind of non-timely response starts to have some applications to fill the garbage time. This is a typical scenario.

When the mobile Internet just broke out, the first application filled with junk time scenes was Weibo. So the scene of fragmentation time has some reference for our later mining.

But at the same time, we need to reflect on the scene of fragmented time.

fragmented time scene

As a body of information, people receive, process and send a lot of information every day. Like our mobile phones and computers, they are all information bodies. Today’s communication technology is very developed, and the information throughput has become very large, but what is the negative effect of this? It is that people have reduced the depth of information processing, did not further process the acquired information, and then easily sent it.

Why does this happen? Because people begin to like fragmented, short, short-term returns of information that can quickly reach conclusions. For those who need to read for a long time, it can help us more effectivelyConstructing large pieces of information in the thinking system has become a luxury. This has a lot to do with the fact that we found fragmented and junk time scenes, and then filled it with fragmented information to fill it up, so that everyone gets a very fast harvest in a short time.

This epidemic has kept everyone at home, but has it really allowed us to calm down and think about it? Although staying at home, the information is still flowing. Has this flowing information been well settled down and become our own wisdom? This requires us to think carefully.

03. Which industries will technological change cause disruptive changes?

Another mission of 5G is to integrate digital technologies such as ABC, that is, artificial intelligence, big data, cloud computing, and blockchain, to embrace the various industries that are pushed to society. So, which industries will technological change cause subversive changes?

At present, the epidemic does not see the immediate need for 5G, and it does not see which industry it will bring subversive changes to. However, some industries have already felt the pain. After the epidemic, there must be relatively large changes.

For example, manufacturing, especially labor-intensive manufacturing .

Also, E-commerce , the first e-commerce company to focus on logistics is JD. It is also one of the best e-commerce companies after SARS in 2003. E-commerce that does not value logistics is troublesome in the future, and e-commerce’s understanding of logistics may also change, and new retail may pay more attention to the construction of outlets.

There is also a part of the service industry, which may minimize human contact and reduce human services. This should be an important development direction.

Online Office and Online Education

After returning to work, everyone started using online office, online education, and more. We noticed an interesting little change-a software robot that reminds you to check in online. I am also checking in every day. Beiyou requires every teacher to check in every day to report your position, daily temperature and contact history.

Many companies use time cards to remind people, but can you develop an intelligent online and automatic online time card reminder robot? Some software and systems are already