5G will be the biggest opportunity in the next 10 years.
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In the launch of 5G, South Korea’s determination is beyond the past, and even the reputation must be built; and Japan is clearly steadily and steadily, with the intention of weakening the disadvantages brought about by the backwardness of 5G and arranging 6G ahead of schedule.
Deloit’s 5G report points out that 5G will be the biggest opportunity in the next 10 years: 5G is not only an extension of 4G, but also enables the connection and interaction of almost any type of billions of devices and data, thus leading Consumers, industries and governments are moving into new areas of productivity and innovation.
The huge potential of 5G allows participants to be delighted and feel the pressure they have never experienced before. On the eve of the 5G mass commercial, all players are rushing to compete for initiative. Party A Research Institute will sort out the 5G layouts of the first echelon of the United States, Europe, Japan, South Korea and China. Who can laugh at the final in this technology competition leading to the future?
Mobile internet has revolutionized our lives and brought the possibilities of unlimited applications.
If we let us locate a keyword for the future mobile Internet, then it must be “Internet of Everything”, and more accurately, it is “All Things.” Smart AI, car autopilot, telemedicine, IoT, all of which can completely subvert our current life applications, all require 5G support to be realized.
From 1G to 2G, from analog voice to digital voice. From 2G to 3G, from the voice era to the traffic age. From 3G to 4G, the era of traffic has entered the era of connectivity. The development of mobile information technology has transformed our daily routine. Twenty years ago, we were still imagining when we could get rid of the cumbersome “cats” and freely surf the Internet. We were still wondering when it would make the tiny monochrome screen of the phone into a colorful one. All of this has been achieved in just 20 years.
Mobile Internet has been integrated into our lives, and the biggest boost is the upgrade and change of the network. The huge network changes from 3G to 4G enable real-time connectivity for all apps, which is the main reason for the outbreak of the mobile industry. If we are still struggling with the speed of the 3G era, then mobile payment, short videoThe outbreak of emerging industries will no longer exist.
In 2019, 5G will be ushered in, and 4G will slowly withdraw. With the arrival of 5G, the biggest change in daily use is the speed upgrade. For the entire network industry, higher coverage and faster rates can achieve more Internet applications, and the era of the Internet of Everything is no longer a dream.
Changes in Japan and South Korea
As one of the first countries in the world to offer 3G services, Japan began issuing 3G licenses to operators in 2000 and issued 3G licenses in the same year.
As of August 2009, the number of 3G users in Japan has reached 103.6 million, and as a reference, the total population of Japan was only 127 million. The 3G population coverage rate reached an astonishing 81.5% in Japan, while the 3G penetration rate was as high as 94.8%. Japan has realized the miracle of the 3G era.
After the rapid popularization of 3G, as a strong IT technology country, Japan led the government to organize 4G mobile communication technology in 2006 and promoted it in 2010. By 2015, Japan has established a 4G mobile communication network covering the whole country.
According to the statistics of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of Japan, as of the end of 2014, the number of mobile phone contracts in Japan was 147 million, of which the number of customers accessing 4G mobile network (LTE) was 61.87 million, accounting for 41.98%.
And South Korea, which is a neighbor of the waterfront, is unwilling. After Japan began issuing licenses in 2000, Korean operators have improved their 3G networks in three years. Compared with China, it was not until 2010 that the 3G network began to start commercial applications on a large scale. Then, after the complete establishment of the 3G network, South Korea immediately began to set up 4G.
Now South Korea is the number one country in terms of 4G penetration rate. The main reason is that the Korean people have realized the convenience of the 3G traffic era very early, and the speed defect of 3G makes the people look forward to the arrival of 4G. Therefore, it is natural for South Korea to realize 4G coverage as early as possible.
Japan and South KoreaThe most obvious feature in the 3G/4G era is that it is driven by the power of the country and is rapidly deployed to help operators achieve full development. Japan and South Korea are now able to quickly deploy 5G, thanks to the experience and strong equipment infrastructure that was created when the 3G/4G network was first established. And Japan and South Korea’s mobile Internet business is the most mature in the world, whether it is coverage, network speed or tariffs, in contrast, China still has a lot of roads to go.
Japan and South Korea are also experienced in promoting business. Paying attention to the user’s business experience, weakening the mystery and professionalism of the technology itself, the advantage of the technology itself allows the user to be willing to accept and pay. Under this promotion mode, Japan and South Korea can quickly achieve rapid growth in the number of 3G/4G users. In other countries, whether it is Europe, America or China, users are more likely to wait and see when they are facing operators.
It can be seen that the experience accumulated by Japan and South Korea in the 4G era has been circulated in today’s 5G popularity.
Japan and South Korea’s pros and cons
When Japan and South Korea came to the 5G era, they also had many advantages and disadvantages.
The biggest advantage that Japan and South Korea have is also the biggest advantage different from the United States, that is, the infrastructure laid in the 4G era is quite excellent. Japan and South Korea have been developing 3G/4G for more than 20 years, and even 4G has been in development for nearly 10 years. In the 10 years of this 4G development and construction, Japanese and Korean operators have carried out many upgrades and iterations for 4G equipment to meet the government’s coverage and rate construction requirements. Japan and South Korea’s mobile Internet speed has therefore ranked among the best in the world.
China did not surpass Japan in the 4G network speed until 2017, which shows the excellent level of the pre-construction of the Japanese and Korean networks. This is also the place where Japan and South Korea are now boldly pioneering the 5G. Compared with the imperfect infrastructure and backwardness of communication facilities in Europe and America, Japan and South Korea can directly upgrade their technology and reduce costs as much as possible. For example, Japan even upgrades 4G+ directly to achieve 5G signal strength. This is an advantage that other countries do not have.
The second advantage of Japan and South Korea’s development of 5G lies in the government’s strong support for the development of the communications industry. Contrary to the fact that European countries are still trying to make a fortune with 5G licenses, Japan and South Korea have already provided licenses to operators at very low prices and even free of charge, helping operators to lay out 5G equipment earlier.
Because the Japanese and South Korean governments attach great importance to their own network construction, Japan will publish a white paper plan for each generation of communication technology innovation to plan development goals and strategic layout in advance. Even technology development is led by the government and provides financial support. The government’s dominant position and good posture in the 5G layout of Japan and South Korea are clearly visible.
This is also the means by which the government has been forced by the Japanese and Korean regions. The country’s geography and area determine that Japan and South Korea must rely on technological innovation to maintain national development and GDP growth. Therefore, every major point of technological innovation is as much as possible to seize and take the lead. And 5G is called the fourth industrial leather.The technological innovation of life, the Japanese and Korean governments naturally take it as the pillar of the future from the national level.
The government-level assistance received by Japanese and Korean operators is unmatched by other countries. Similarly, the geographical area brings the advantage: operators do not have to worry about how to achieve a wide range of coverage, especially compared to large countries in China and the United States. The pressure on operators to build networks has suddenly decreased, which is also the natural advantage that Japan and South Korea have when deploying 5G upgrade equipment.
Third, the completeness and maturity of the Japanese and Korean communications market is the highest in the world, and users are more accepting of emerging technologies. Even though the Japanese government’s strategic level of enthusiasm for 5G is not high, but its blueprint is to be added to the future 6G era, all of which still needs 5G as the basis. Therefore, the Japanese and Korean markets are full of fragrance for any supplier. Even though Huawei has suffered a lot of resistance in Japan and South Korea, it is still the reason why the Japanese and Korean markets are still important targets.
In contrast, the disadvantage of Japan and South Korea’s development of 5G lies in the short-sightedness determined by its own national culture and characteristics, and the backwardness of Japan and South Korea in autonomous 5G technology. On the occasion of the arrival of 5G, Japan and South Korea still give priority to domestic enterprises and related enterprises to provide 5G equipment and service support, rather than “capable of priority”, and is mixed with certain political factors. It is this move that Huawei and ZTE have been shut out by Japanese and Korean operators, or only a small percentage of purchases, far less than the proportion of South Korea’s Samsung and Ericsson Nokia.
This short-sightedness does not reflect its shortcomings in a short period of time, but after the promotion of large-scale services, the backwardness of equipment and technology will inevitably lead to the operation of 5G services in Japan and South Korea compared to other operations using advanced equipment and suppliers. Business services are not available. South Korea’s LG U+ operators use Huawei’s 5G experience, which is better than SK and KT, which use Samsung and Nokia Ericsson devices.
This is also a shortcoming of Japan and South Korea’s future 5G development. And because Japan and South Korea have lagged behind Chinese companies in the development of independent 5G technology, the future strategy of refusing Chinese companies will inevitably lead Japan and South Korea to lag behind others at 5G.
Korea seeks fast, Japan seeks stability
Even if there are many advantages and disadvantages, Japan and South Korea are still the two countries with the fastest layout when the 5G arrives.
At 11 o’clock on the evening of April 3 this year, South Korea’s SK Telecom and KT Telecom jointly announced the first to start 5G commercial operations. Such a race against time is only to grab before the United States. Two hours later, Versson Telecom of the United States announced the opening of 5G services.
In contrast, Japan has developed a detailed 5G development strategy. With the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, Japan will launch 5G services in 2020 to provide 5G technical support for the Tokyo Olympics. The full coverage will be achieved in 2022, which is lagging behind the current 5G country, but this is determined by Japan’s 5G development strategy.
Although Japan and South Korea are at the forefront of the current 5G development, the development strategies of the two countries are completely opposite. South Korea stands for “fast”, while Japan emphasizes “stable”.
South Korea has benefited from the leadership of the 3G and 4G eras and has tasted the sweetness of prioritizing mobile internet technology. Operators are so eager to launch 5G services, even at the expense of the “Shantou” word to grab the 5G service before the US Summit Telecom, is to launch the full 5G service. Samsung also started selling the first 5G mobile phone Galaxy S10 5G on this day. As early as last year’s PyeongChang Winter Olympics, SK Telecom has jointly launched 5G services with Samsung and Intel. South Korea’s ambitions on 5G are thus visible.
This development is not only to guide ordinary people into the 5G era, but also to the future development of South Korea. According to the forecast data of the Korea KT Economic Management Research Institute, if 5G is fully rolled out in South Korea, it will bring the economic driving force worth 47.8 trillion won and increase the growth rate of Korea in the fourth industrial revolution.
5G is not only a technology prospect, but also a future “Qian Jing”.
According to market research firm Strategy Analytics, South Korea’s 5G penetration rate will reach the world’s highest 11% in the next two years. This number has grown faster than any other country that intends to develop 5G during the same period.
Korean official data shows that SK, KT and LGU Telecom are committed to building 230,000 5G base stations in 85 cities in South Korea in 2019, covering 93% of South Korea’s 51 million people. On May 1, 2019, the number of 5G users in Korea exceeded 260,000. This is the fastest growing record of 5G users worldwide. Take Korean operator KT as an example, its 5G users broke through the 100,000 mark in just 22 days. The speed of Korea highlighted by these figures has shocked the world.
Not only the operator, but also the Korean 5G layout is the local company of Samsung. Samsung’s R&D strength and advanced equipment in 5G technology are obviously less than those of Huawei and other suppliers, but Samsung has the biggest local advantage.
Samsung competes with Huawei’s SK Telecom in the competition for Huawei’s single-purchase purchase, and also has a seat in the second phase of LG U+ Telecom’s purchase, becoming the most successful supplier of 5G equipment in Korea. Its launch of the first 5G mobile phone Galaxy S10 5G global shipments have beenUp to one million. As of February 2019, Samsung’s 5G base station shipments exceeded 36,000, although 90% are concentrated in South Korea, but only need to be. Samsung is also one of the few suppliers of integrated chips (Exynos Modem 5100), equipment and complete solutions.
Not only that, Samsung’s powerful integration capabilities can provide a range of 5G IoT solutions from memory, flash memory, to mobile processors. Actually, from the perspective of overall solution, Samsung is one of the few. It is the opponent of Huawei. Other competitors such as Nokia and Ericsson can only give equipment and solutions for 5G, while Samsung Huawei can solve the entire industry chain. In the future, Samsung will invest 22 billion US dollars in 5G and artificial intelligence, hoping to have a 20% global market share by 2020.
Compared with South Korea, Japan’s emphasis on “stable words” is reflected in the “5G Development White Paper”. As early as 2015, the Japanese government has started the 5G research and started the 5G usecase trial in 2017. Different from the large-scale rapid coverage network construction in the 4G era, the Japanese government’s plan for 5G is to build networks according to needs to match the Japanese Social 5.0 plan.
Japan plans to prioritize the construction of the network on demand throughout the island. But this is more likely to be a high-sounding reason for the lack of R&D capabilities of Japanese domestic companies.
Japan is so “not in a hurry” to develop 5G. The reason is that compared with South Korea, Samsung is still the world’s leading supplier in terms of 5G R&D strength. Japanese giants such as Sony, Sharp, Fujitsu, etc. already have 5G. R & D is not interested, so in fact, Japan’s 5G technology patents account for a small proportion, resulting in more construction needs to rely on other manufacturers to provide a full set of solutions.
Therefore, Japan’s intention in the 5G era was smooth and not huge. Put the main energy into 6G research and development in advance, and hope to take the lead in the 6G era. Therefore, the performance of Japanese operators and the 5G layout are slightly dull and moderate compared to other countries.
In April 2019, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of Japan announced the results of 5G spectrum allocation. The three traditional Japanese operators NTT Docomo, KDDI, Softbank Softbank and Rakuten of the new incoming wireless communication all obtained frequency resources.
On July 31, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of Japan issued commercial licenses for 5G base stations and land mobile stations to NTT Docomo and KDDI, and distributed 5G base stations to Softbank.And a reserve permit for the land mobile station. This also marks the beginning of the full construction of the 5G communication network under the premise of the three companies. Japan’s actual construction of 5G is far less than that of South Korea next door.
The signal upgrade strategy adopted by NTT Docomo, Softbank and KDDI, the three major telecommunications companies in Japan, is 4G+, not a new 5G facility system. This also means that in the future, Japanese operators will not directly launch 5G equipment, but will properly upgrade based on existing 4G communication equipment, so that 4G signals have the strength of 5G signals.
Because of the “not to force” of domestic companies in Japan, Japanese operators will rely more on overseas suppliers such as Nokia, Huawei, Ericsson, etc. in terms of 5G infrastructure. NTT Docomo has recently signed a 5G purchase agreement with Nokia; Softbank has chosen Ericsson as a device supplier; Lotte expects to launch 5G services in June 2020, and the layout is the world’s first virtual cloud mobile network, avoiding a large number of entities The investment in hardware, but the effect remains to be verified. This also highlights the embarrassment of Japan’s 5G layout.
The Japanese people are not interested in 5G for general commercial use. Even in a Chinese reporter interview, Japanese nationals said that 4G is enough. But people using 4G is not enough to represent the most important IoT scenario for 5G applications. The industry is more eager for the application of 5G. The well-known machine tool manufacturer DMG has cooperated with KDDI Telecom to build a wireless base station to meet the internal 5G demand, and connect the machine tool to the 5G network to realize IoT control and production.
Although Japan is far behind neighboring South Korea, its layout will usher in the following year. How do we observe the 5G performance in Japan at that time?
Conclusion:
According to the advantages and disadvantages of Japan and South Korea’s 5G layout and the layout of Japan and South Korea today, we can see that in the launch of 5G, South Korea’s determination is beyond the past, even at the expense of the reputation; and Japan is clearly steadily steadily, intending to weaken 5G The disadvantages brought by backwardness are 6G in advance.
The strengths and weaknesses of Japan and South Korea’s development of 5G will make them feel the convenience of being the first echelon in the entire 5G life cycle. Although the current 5G experience in South Korea is not satisfactory, but with the accumulation of time, it is only a matter of time before the 4G fluency is reached. Even when other countries are still struggling with the profit of the license, South Korea can achieve the goal of wide coverage of 5G signals. .
Japan and South Korea are more than just a sense of our past.The role is the embodiment of the integration and progress of the whole industry chain and trade relations. Under the circumstance of developing 5G, China’s strategic layout and development strategy are especially worthy of our study.