On September 21, statistics from the Centaline Real Estate Research Center showed that during the Mid-Autumn Festival this year, most cities across the country were cooling down and the overall market gradually entered a downward channel. The “Golden Nine, Silver and Ten” market was hardly optimistic.
According to data from the Central Plains Real Estate Research Center, two days before the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, there were 95 and 139 newly-built commercial housing online signings, respectively, compared with the two days before the Dragon Boat Festival holiday. There were a reduction of 90 and 27 sets respectively; two days before the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, second-hand houses sold 118 and 43 sets, respectively, which were 56 and 38 sets less than the Dragon Boat Festival holiday.
In addition, monitoring data shows that 87 and 92 newly built houses were signed online in the first two days of the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday in Shenzhen, and the total amount was basically the same as that during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday in Guangzhou. On the first day of the Little Long Holiday, there were 369 new residential nets, a slight increase compared to the Dragon Boat Holiday.
Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Real Estate, pointed out that after experiencing a blowout of real estate regulation, the national property market has experienced a significant year-on-year decline since August, especially the 7- In August, there was another epidemic in some cities, which hit the market volume in many cities, and the volume of online signing transactions lags behind the market.
The August data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that as the regulatory policies introduced in the previous period continue to ferment, credit continues to tighten, and the superimposed market enters the off-season, market enthusiasm further declines. In August, the number of new homes and second-hand homes increased, and the number of cities continued to decrease, and fell to the lowest level during the year. According to the housing price data of 70 large and medium-sized cities across the country, the number of newly-built commercial residential houses rose in August to 46 cities, a decrease of 5 cities from July; the number of cities with second-hand housing prices rose to 27, a further decrease of 14 from July. The number of cities where prices have fallen is 34, which also means that the prices of second-hand houses in nearly half of the cities have shown a decline.
According to the data of Centaline Property Research Center, the number of cities with rising second-hand housing fell to 27 for 77 consecutive months since April 2015 (except for the special cause of the February 2020 epidemic Outside) the lowest point. The property market has clearly entered a downward channel.
“The second round of centralized land supply transactions cooled down, and the increase in the number of bids also affected the confidence of some buyers. In addition, the second-hand housing market is difficult to lend money, which has completely suppressed market activity , Especially in first- and second-tier cities, the proportion of second-hand housing is high. The current loan cycle has exceeded 3 months, and the difficulty in lending during the year has continued, and the market transaction volume has been declining. The transaction volume in cities such as Shenzhen has been the lowest point in many years.” Zhang Dawei Express.
58 Anju Guest House Property Research Institute Branch Dean Zhang Bo believes that in August, all kinds of cities have definitely entered the cooling channel. Although the house prices of some cities still maintain a certain rise, the overall increase has been trending. As the “Golden Nine and Silver Ten” has dropped significantly year-on-year, the lack of fineness will be a high probability trend.