This article is from the public numberInterface News (ID:wowjiemian), author: Chun, topic map from: vision China
The weekend passenger flow of Guangzhou Metro showed the characteristics of a small decline in the main city and an increase in the peripheral area.
There are currently 37 cities in mainland China that have opened subways in 25 provinces across the country. To say which city has the largest passenger flow, there is no doubt Beijing and Shanghai.
The data of China Urban Rail Transit Association shows that in 2018, Beijing’s rail transit completed a total of 3.85 billion passengers, Shanghai completed 3.71 billion, and Guangzhou completed 3.03 billion.
The Urban Rail Association also counts the form of railcars, maglev trains, etc., but its passenger traffic is very small compared to the subway. Overall, the passenger flow of the Beijing and Shanghai subways is still far more than that of Guangzhou, with a gap of 7.8 billion.
Interface news reporters found out that the passenger flow in Beijing and Shanghai Metro is mainly on high working days. On weekends and holidays (referring to the legal holidays such as Mid-Autumn National Day), the passenger flow of Guangzhou Metro is higher than that of Beijing and Shanghai.
Guangzhou’s resident population and subway mileage are less than Beijing and Shanghai. If you only look at the working day, it is normal for the Guangzhou subway passenger flow to be lower than Beijing and Shanghai. Why can it surpass Beijing and Shanghai in the weekend?
Three-way subway passenger flow sorting
In the past week, the subway passenger flow in the three places showed this trend. On November 11 (Monday), the three subway passengers were sorted into Beijing Subway, Shanghai Subway and Guangzhou Subway. On the previous day, November 10 (Sunday), the order of passenger flow was just the opposite.
Contrast can be found that passenger traffic in Beijing and Shanghai has dropped significantly on rest days (including weekends and holidays), with Beijing decreasing by 36.88% on Sunday and Shanghai on Sunday by 31.34%.
But the passenger flow of the Guangzhou Metro on Sunday and Monday is not much different. The difference between the two is only about 70,000, which is less than 1% on Sunday.
This Guangzhou weekend subway go-ahead is a phenomenon that has been presented in recent years. Perennial statistics of subway passenger flow data bloggers @ subway passenger flow and transportation research A Niu analyzed the subway passenger flow in the three places in 2018. The data shows that the average daily passenger flow of the Beijing subway is the highest; the Shanghai Metro is the second, and the daily average passenger flow exceeds 10 million on the working day; the average daily passenger flow on the Guangzhou subway is much lower than that in Beijing and Shanghai, only 8.5 million.
Including weekends and holidays, there are 113 days off in 2018. The passenger flow of the Guangzhou Metro last year took up nearly 30% of the total passenger flow for the year, 23% for the Shanghai Metro and 21.8% for the Beijing Subway.
On the other hand, the passenger flow intensity of the Guangzhou Metro is also higher than that of Beijing and Shanghai. In 2018, all three places have new subway lines at different times. A Niu has been weighted to obtain the annual average passenger flow intensity of Guangzhou Metro (22,000 passengers/km), Beijing Subway (17,900 passengers/km), and Shanghai Metro. (1.6 million person/km).
Another neglected phenomenon is that although the overall passenger flow of the Beijing subway has been rising, the passenger flow on its rest day has not increased, and even declined slightly.
(Note: The Beijing subway data in the above figure only includes the lines of the Beijing Metro Operating Company, excluding the Beijing-Hong Kong subway and the Yanfang line, so the overall passenger flow is less than 10 million, but it still shows a trend)
Weekend passenger flow: the main city is slightly down, the peripheral area is rising
A Niu told the interface news that although he is paying attention to the passenger flow data of each city every day, due to the lack of specific inbound and outbound data, it is impossible to analyze the specific reasons for this phenomenon.
The Guangzhou Metro said that the interface news, they only counted the data, and did not study the specific reasons, need to analyze from a more macro-level city level.
The only paper on the study of weekend passenger flow in Guangzhou Metro provides relatively rigorous support for analyzing this issue. Chen Jianjun of Guangzhou Transportation Planning Research Institute published a paper in July this year, which conducted detailed research on the subway ticketing data of 197 subway stations in Guangzhou Metro from June 11 to 24, 2018.
Chen Jianjun divides the distribution area of the subway station into three categories: the main city core area, the main city area and the peripheral area, and divides the functions of the subway station into six categories: residential type, employment type, hub type, scenic area type, school type. , occupation and living balance.
The study found that the overall characteristics of the passenger flow in Guangzhou Metro weekend are: the passenger flow in the central area is declining at the weekend, and the passenger flow in the peripheral area is increasing. The passenger flow of the subway station, which is mainly based on residence and employment, is declining. There are passengers in the hubs, scenic spots and subway stations around the school. Significant growth.
As can be seen from the above figure, the overall decline in passenger flow in the main urban area of Guangzhou is very small; the passenger flow in the core area of the main urban area has dropped significantly, and the number of inbound stations has dropped from 2.8 million to 2.5 million, down about 10%.
Compared to Guangzhou, the passenger flow in the central area of Beijing and Shanghai weekends is much lower. For example, compared with Friday (November 9th) and Friday (November 8th), the passenger flow of the main city subway line in Beijing fell by more than 30%.
The data shows that about 65% of the subway stations in the Guangzhou Metro have a downward trend on the weekend, but the weekend transfer rate is high, and the demand for travel in the medium and long distance increases.
According to the administrative division, the passenger flow of Yuexiu and Tianhe decreased most obviously, with a drop of more than 15%; the weekend passenger flow in Huadu, Zengcheng and Nansha increased significantly, with an increase of more than 15%.
Who is taking the subway on weekends
The passenger flow in the core area of the main city of Guangzhou Metro decreased, but the passenger flow still accounted for more than 55% of the whole network. The orbital operation is still in a relatively busy state; the passenger flow in the peripheral area is obviously increasing, and the activity of passenger flow is obviously rising.
The Huadu, Zengcheng, Nansha, Panyu and Foshan cities, where passenger traffic has risen on weekends, are basically far from downtown Guangzhou. Compared with Beijing and Shanghai, which are multi-center developments, Guangzhou is still a strong central structure city. The most prosperous business district is still around the Tianhe Sports Center, attracting people from the suburbs to spend time on weekends.
In addition, many people who have lived in Guangzhou or its surrounding cities for a long time, in the interview news interview, believe that the trend of subway passenger flow has a certain relationship with the living habits of Guangzhou citizens, urban location and urban functions.
The data shows that although the passenger flow of commuter-based subway stations has dropped more, the passenger flow between residential and residential sites has not declined, and researcher Chen Jianjun believes that this has a great relationship with Guangzhou’s “early tea” culture.
Mrs. Xu, who grew up in Guangzhou, believes that compared with other first- and second-tier cities, Guangzhou does have a deeper tradition of eating, drinking and playing, and can’t afford to spend the weekend.
The data also supports this point. If the total retail sales of social consumer goods are averaged to everyone, the per capita consumption of Guangzhou in 2018 is 62,000 yuan, which is higher than Beijing and Shanghai by more than 50,000 yuan.
Compared with the subway passenger flow on the rest day and the working day, Beijing and Shanghai have a drop of more than 30%. In other cities with more than 200 kilometers of subway lines (lack of Tianjin data), except for Chengdu, the decline in other cities is basically below 15%.
This shows that commuter flow accounts for a large proportion of passenger traffic in Beijing and Shanghai, and passenger traffic in other cities is relatively more diversified. Of course, Beijing-Shanghai commuter has a lot of passenger flow, and it is also related to the better and more accessible metro network in the two places.
However, Guangzhou’s unique geographical location still determines the particularity of its subway network and passenger flow. Guangzhou is the first city in China to have a cross-city subway. As early as 2010, the Guangzhou Metro has already entered Foshan. At present, the Foshan Metro Line 2 to Guangzhou South Railway Station is also under construction.
The “Guangzhou Land and Space Planning Draft” released in June this year also mentioned that it will plan to connect subway lines in surrounding cities such as Foshan, Dongguan, Qingyuan and Zhongshan. At the end of October, the Guangdong Provincial Development and Reform Commission continued to express its position and will speed up the extension of the Guangzhou Metro network to surrounding cities.