There may not be a major paradigm shift in the future, nor will there be major changes in the times.
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Editor’s note: The technology industry likes to tell disruptive stories. Today’s companies that dominate the industry will definitely be replaced by the next wave of startups. It’s just a matter of time. From IBM to Microsoft, to today’s Apple and Amazon, the new paradigm shift often brings new era changes. People will think that the era of IBM and Microsoft has passed, and there will be more new paradigm shifts in the future. However, Ben Thompson, a well-known technology blogger, believes that if the long-term time is drawn, the era of IBM and Microsoft may be just the beginning, and their influence has just begun. There may not be a new paradigm shift in the future, but in The current foundation extends infinitely, just like the automotive industry once. This article is derived from Stratechery, the original title is: The End of the Beginning.
Dulia Motors, the first American automaker, was founded in 1895, and within the next five years, another 34 automakers appeared in the United States.
Then the automobile manufacturing industry broke out. In the first decade of the 20th century (1900-1910), 233 automobile manufacturers were established, and 168 automobile companies were established between 1910-1919. Since then, the pace at which new automakers have been established has slowed:
Picture: 20th century, the new number of American car manufacturers
In fact, this rhythm continued from the 1920s to the 1980s: In the 1920s, the automobile manufacturing industry has formed a “Big Three” (GM, Ford, and Chrysler); the 20th century In the 1950s and 1960s, an automobile company AMC merged by many small brand car manufacturers became a dark horse, which brought a brief challenge to the “Big Three”, but the automobile manufacturing market was basically Monopoly, this situation continued until the 1970s, until imported cars began to appear.
Although the growth of new automakers has stagnated, it does not mean that the car is influential