The 2020 Winter Davos Forum was held from January 21st to January 24th. The theme of this Davos Forum is “Gathering Global Power and Achieving Sustainable Development”. Huawei founder Ren Zhengfei attended the theme ” Technology competition shapes the future “sub-forum.
In the forum, Ren Zhengfei mainly talked about two issues: One is how the development of artificial intelligence will affect the daily life of human beings; the other is that the United States may upgrade the restrictions on Huawei And combat .
Ren Zhengfei said that we don’t need to panic about artificial intelligence today. We mainly study weak artificial intelligence with borders. There are many decades in the process of wealth creation, and wealth creation is always better than nothing. Solving the problem of increasing disparity between the rich and the poor is a social issue, not a technical one. In response to the escalation in the United States, he seems more confident-“ The list of US entities hit us. Last year we did not play a big role , He will upgrade again and continue to hit us. I do n’t think we will be very affected .
The following is a summary of Ren Zhengfei’s speech, edited slightly by Tiger Sniff.
Talking about artificial intelligence and human-computer competition
I have read Harari’s “A Brief History of the Future” and “A Brief History of Today”. I have some opinions on his understanding of the laws of human society, their impact on technology, the structure of the world, and people’s ideology. But first of all, we must see that science and technology are for good. The development of science and technology is not for evil, but for good. Human history has experienced a long history. In the past few thousand years, technological progress and physiological progress have basically been synchronized. There is no panic in people.
When the trains and ships appeared, including the emergence of textile machinery, people also had small panics, but these panic was eliminated for the development of the later industrial society. In the continuous development of this society, the society has entered the information society.
What is this era?
It is a breakthrough in electronic technology. Today, the ability of chips has been refined to 2 microns, 3 microns is not a question mark. Due to the great improvement of computer capabilities, information technology has filled the world. Breakthroughs in biotechnology, breakthroughs in various technologies, breakthroughs in interdisciplinary fields, breakthroughs in cross-disciplinary innovation, and accumulated energy with human society. This energy is the big technology explosion. This explosion is a panic for people. Is the explosion good or bad?
I think it ’s good. I think that human beings will always use it to benefit this society in front of new technology, instead of destroying this society, because most people in the whole society yearn for the future as a happy life and do not yearn for suffering.
I was born when the atomic bomb exploded in Hiroshima, so when the age of 7-8 years old, the biggest fear of people was the atomic bomb. The world is full of terrorist atomic bombs. With the end of human society, Atomic energy generates electricity, which benefits society, including the application of radioactivity in medicine in all aspects to the benefit of mankind.
We do n’t need to panic about artificial intelligence today. The atomic bomb may hurt humans, and the development of artificial intelligence will not hurt humans so much. We mainly study weak artificial intelligence, which has borders, has certain conditions, and is supported by certain data. For example, car driving, mining, and a series of these things still have Boundaries, these boundaries have greatly created wealth after the improvement of artificial intelligence.
For many years in the process of creating wealth, wealth creation is always better than nothing. Today, whether we are poor or not, our society has more absolute wealth than in the past decades. But the widening of the gap between the rich and the poor does not mean that the poor are moving towards absolute poverty. Solving the problem of the widening gap between the rich and the poor is a social issue, not a technical issue.
The future of science and technology imagined by Mr. Harari will not be realized. We are not sure yet, but we are not in denial.
But now, as our current society, we need to understand more deeply an enterprise, such as a mine. Can a mining be fully artificial intelligence without anyone? Yes. If this mine is located in a frozen area at a high altitude, this value must exist. For example, some leading mines, such as those in Brazil, can this mining method be used? Yes.
Then we must have a deep understanding of this before we can do it. Our in-depth understanding is also useless. It is mainly possible to understand the combination of mining experts and electronic experts. Only with good doctors and us can we do telemedicine. Therefore, the depth of understanding is a step by step understanding. In the future, this person will invade humans like the electron Harhar said, and humans will become gods, but do n’t worry about it, because by the age of 80 people die, the soul cannot inherit and cannot become gods.
Technical communication is becoming more and more convenient, people are becoming more and more aware of things, and human beings are becoming smarter.This clever speed is accelerating, just like we are now, sometimes when I read the textbooks when I was young, I do n’t understand them well, how do we know that elementary school students can learn these things, I remember that we have learned a lot in colleges and have already learned them in middle school. It ’s over, so we feel that humans are actually making progress in information. If they make progress, they still need to master this thing. Different people have different masters.
People’s subjective initiative should also exist, not become superfluous.
Don’t worry about the U.S. cracking down on Huawei
The United States has not really wanted to understand artificial intelligence. I do n’t think China has actually started to think about it. If these two countries start to think, they should invest more in basic education and basic research. In fact, China ’s education is still along the industry. The education method of the society is mainly an education system centered on training engineers.
Artificial intelligence cannot develop very fast in China. Artificial intelligence requires a large number of mathematicians, a large number of super computers, super-capable connections, and super programs. In these places, China is still in the beginning of science and technology. Country, so I think America’s own anxiety is too much.
The United States has long been accustomed to being the boss of the world. Everything should be the best thing he can do. Someone may not be comfortable in his heart when others do a good job.
This kind of discomfort does not represent the trend of the world. I think that human beings must make good use of artificial intelligence in the end. How to benefit human beings is to formulate some rules. What allows you to study and what does not allow research to control It’s going.
In my opinion, within two or three decades, or for a longer period of time, what Harari thinks is that electronic technology has invaded human thinking and merged into a new form. I think in two or three decades It will not appear. Eventually it will improve the efficiency of production and create more wealth. As long as there is more wealth, the government will have something to distribute and it will be able to balance social contradictions.
This time when I published an article in The Economist, I also cited the combination of electronics, chips, and genes, and what kind of things will be formed. Their magazine deleted it for me. This was a provocative topic, and I immediately agreed, and I knew I had a problem myself.
Originally, Huawei is a very American company. Huawei has been so successful today, and most of its management has learned from the United States.
Because we have hired dozens of U.S. consultants to teach us how to manage. In the process of teaching us how to manage, in fact, our entire system is very similar to the United States. The United States should be proud. After its exports, it has brought us development, so from this point of view, I do n’t think the United States needs to be Worried about Huawei’s position and growth in the world.
The list of US entities hit us. It didn’t help us much last year because we thought we could basically resist it. We have made some preparations in the past. This year he will upgrade and continue to hit us, but I don’t think we will be affected very much.
Because we were a poor company more than ten years ago. Twenty years ago, I did n’t have a house. I rented a house of more than 30 square meters. Where did the money go? Full investment in the company’s research and development.
If we had a sense of security in the United States at that time, I did n’t need to make backups, because we did n’t have a sense of security, we made backups and spent hundreds of billions of spare wheels. . The second round of technology hit us. We have the experience and last year’s training against us. We will be more confident in dealing with this year’s blow. This problem will not occur.
But will the world be split into two worlds as a result? I do n’t think so, because science is truth, and there is only one truth. Any scientist who discovers this truth broadcasts it to the whole world. At the bottom of science and technology, the world is at the same level, but technology invention itself can be plural. Turned into.
Technical inventions are diverse. When you look at cars, there are many types of cars competing. This kind of competition is conducive to social progress. It does not require society to promote only one technical standard, but the world will not be divided. I think the bottom layer of science and technology is unified. It will not split.