These trends will bring significant disruption and opportunities in the next five to ten years.
Shenzhen Translation Bureau is a compilation team of 36 氪, focusing on the fields of technology, business, workplace, and life, focusing on introducing new foreign technologies, new perspectives, and new trends.
Editor’s note: Does 2020 sound like a futuristic era? With the cries of babies after the 20s, new technological developments are subverting the existing pattern. In this regard, Gartner, the world’s leading information technology research and consulting company, summarized the ten major technology development trends in 2020. Super automation, blockchain, AI security, distributed clouds, and autonomous devices … they are likely to bring major disruption and opportunities to the world in the next five to ten years. This article is compiled from Medium. The author Ryan M. Raiker , the original title is “Top 10 Technology Trends for 2020”, and I hope to inspire you.
Recommended reading: Bold guess: the next five years Which technology directions are the hottest?
TV shows from the 1960s, such as The Jetsons, predicted that the 21st century sky would be filled with flying cars and aerial robots. Marty McFly’s classic traversal movie “Back to the Future 2” shot in 1989, his time travel was October 21, 2015, and the number of futures he saw captured The imagination of millions. But today, we live in a world dominated by live streaming, smartphones and social networks-this “future” does not have sky flying cars or hoverboards.
In just 10 years or less, Uber, Lyft, DoorDash, AirBnB and other applications have already had millions of users, and almost everyone has installed these applications on their smartphones. Personal voice assistants like Siri and Alexa have become part of our lives. If anyone says the world hasn’t changed in the past 10 years, he’s too naive. This trend of technological growth and change is likely to continue for the next decade or more.
When we think about the beginning of the new millennium, the hot spot in the field of information technology is the millennium bug. “When the clock rang at twelve on January 1, 2000, iPhone, Twitter, Facebook, 4k, 5G, and all the other interesting things we know today don’t exist. And now, when a new twenty years begin, what changes will the world usher in?
2020 brings many technological changes that change the “rules of the world”, and we will embrace (or have long accepted) these new trends. Some changes already exist and are common in modern enterprises; others are the “best choices” that have revolutionized the way we live, work and socialize. When the modern technology we know and love develops with new cases and even application scenarios, we will witness new opportunities.
At the Gartner Annual Information Technology Symposium held in October 2019, the world’s leading information technology research and consulting company made predictions for 2020: the main strategic technology trends in the future include two areas- People-oriented and smart space.
Super Automation
Super automation will fully enhance the level of task automation. It is the application of advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning to implement automated processes (not just the task itself) in a more influential way than traditional automation. It is a combination of multiple machine learning, packaged software, and automation tools that require multiple tools to replace the human part of the task. This trend started with Robotic Process Automation (RPA), but with the development of process intelligence, content intelligence, artificial intelligence, optical character recognition and other innovative technologies, super automation technology will achieve comprehensive growth.
Multiple experiences
Multiple experience technology enables a huge shift from a two-dimensional screen and keyboard interface to a more dynamic, multi-modal “interface world”. In such a world, we are immersed in ubiquitous, omnipotent interactive technologies. Currently, multi-experience technology focuses on bringing immersive experiences using augmented reality, virtual reality, mixed reality, multi-channel human-machine interface and sensing technology.
The artificial intelligence interaction platform has changed the way people interact with the digital world. Beyond interaction, virtual reality, augmented reality, and mixed reality are changing how people view the digital world. This joint transformation of perception and interaction will lead to future multi-sensory, multi-modal experiences. In the next decade, this trend will bring about so-called ambient experience.
Tech democratization
Tech democratization is the process by which technology becomes more accessible to more people.
This means making it easy for people to acquire technical or business expertise without in-depth and costly training. With the rise of “citizen developers”, thisA trend has been widely recognized. Historically, automation has been managed and deployed by information technology, but robotic process automation and the accompanying digital workers have changed that. We are now seeing a new generation of citizen developers-such as business analysts-who can use automated coding to complete their analysis. This trend will focus on four key areas: application development, data analysis, design, and knowledge. According to Gartner, these tools may be designed to “generate synthetic training data, which can help overcome substantial barriers to machine learning model development.”
In general, new technologies and improved user experiences will enable people outside the technology industry to access and use technology products and services.
Human Augmentation
Human augmentation technology is focused on exploring how to use technology to enhance people’s cognitive and physical experiences. Companies such as Boston Dynamics have developed a variety of human augmentation devices that can be used in factories and even on the battlefield.
We have seen the proliferation of smart phones and smart wearables. New application scenarios include the use of these wearable devices to increase the safety factor of mining workers. In other industries, such as retail and tourism, wearables can be used to increase worker productivity and capabilities.
Transparency and traceability
Consumers are becoming more aware of the value of their personal information, and corporate organizations are realizing the increasing risks of storing and managing personal data. Governments are implementing strict legislation to ensure the security of personal information data, and transparency and traceability are key factors supporting these digital ethics and privacy needs.
In the next few years, there may be more regulations around the world like the EU ’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR).
As more and more enterprises and organizations begin to deploy artificial intelligence and use machine learning instead of humans to make decisions, the issues of transparency and traceability deserve further attention, and explainable AI and artificial intelligence AI governance will usher in a wave of development. This trend requires focusing on the six elements of trust: ethics, integrity, openness, responsibility, competence, and consistency.
The Empowered Edge
Edge computing is a topology in which information processing and content collection and delivery are placed closer to the source and user of the information. This reduces latency and enables a degree of autonomy on edge devices.
Edge computing was born from the needs of Internet of Things (IoT) systems. Brian Burke from Gartner said: “As edge devices have more and more complex and professional computing resources and more data storage, it will become the dominant factor in almost all industries and use cases , Complex edge smart devices including robots, drones, autonomous vehicles and operating systems will accelerate this transition. “
This will expand the role of devices as the foundation of smart spaces and bring key applications and services closer to the people and devices that use them.
By 2023, the number of edge smart devices may be 20 times more than traditional IT devices.
Distributed Cloud
Most people think that the “cloud” is in a separate place-it is “somewhere in the air.” However, the distributed cloud has changed the impression that the physical location of the data center is becoming more and more important, and addressing regulatory and latency issues and the like are attracting more attention.
Today, distributed clouds allow data centers to be located anywhere, while primitive public cloud services are responsible for the operation, governance, update, and evolution of services. This represents a major shift from the centralized model of most public cloud services and will lead a new era of cloud computing.
Autonomous equipment
Autonomous devices are physical devices that use artificial intelligence to automate functions previously performed by humans. Autonomous devices that are currently receiving the most attention include robots, drones, autonomous vehicles, and automatic home appliances. The automation of these devices goes beyond what a rigorous programming model can provide. They use artificial intelligence to more naturally interact with the environment or humans.
With the improvement of technical capabilities, the allowance of laws and regulations and the increase of social acceptance, more autonomous equipment will be deployed in open public spaces.
Cryptocurrency and practical blockchain
Although blockchain has been around for several years, its commercial deployment has been slow due to technical and management issues. In fact, blockchain has the potential to reshape the industry by building trust, providing transparency and equivalent exchanges across business ecosystems, potentially reducing costs, reducing transaction settlement time, and improving cash and material flows.
The report states that another potential area of blockchain is identity management. Smart contracts can be programmed into the blockchain, and events can trigger actions; for example, payments are issued when goods are received. However, Brian Burke said that due to a series of technical issues, including poor scale and interoperability, deploying blockchain is still immature for enterprises. “Despite these challenges, the potentially huge revenue means that organizations should start assessing the feasibility of blockchain, even if they don’t expect to adopt these technologies in the short term,” he said.
AI security
Super automation and moreShowcasing technology shows that the business world is embracing the opportunity for digital transformation. However, these technologies also create security holes by attacking potential weaknesses. The future of artificial intelligence security will have three key perspectives: one is to protect the driving system of AI to ensure the safety of artificial intelligence training data, training pipelines and machine learning models; the other is to use artificial intelligence to enhance security defenses, such as using machine learning Discover the attacks in the process of network security; the third is the process of predicting the malicious use of AI by attackers-identifying these attacks and defending against them.
All in all, 2020 is a year of opportunities and challenges for companies. There is no doubt that refusal to change will leave companies behind the times; only by accepting changes and adopting new technologies can they remain competitive in the market. Do you have enough courage to embrace these trends that will change the future?
Translator: Hu Xiaoying