This article is from the WeChat public account: China Economic Weekly (ID: ChinaEconomicWeekly) , reporter: Zou Songlin
It always comes.
At 3:30 pm on March 13, Eastern Time, US President Trump held a new crown pneumonia outbreak conference at the White House, announcing that the United States has entered a “national emergency” in response to the new crown pneumonia outbreak.
Trump said that this move will help get 50 billion US dollars in federal aid to fight the epidemic. At the same time, he urged states to set up emergency centers immediately and promised to expand detection capabilities for the new crown virus. He also said that private laboratories and vaccine developers will be able to provide 5 million virus tests in a month. In addition, non-drop-off detection points will be set up.
Trump, who has always believed in “there is no disease”, also said, “I’m very likely to be tested for the new crown virus.” When asked when, Trump said “it will be very fast.”
This time the doctor raised the objection. On the night of the 13th, a memorandum from White House Presidential Doctor Sean Conley stated that Trump currently does not need to be quarantined at home and does not need to be tested for the new crown virus at this moment.
All the peaks are turning, and the speed is too fast, so that the viewers have no time to respond.
Why is attitude reversed after 40 hours? ^
You know, just over 40 hours ago, Trump insisted on resisting the announcement of a state of emergency.
At 9 pm EST on March 11, Trump gave a speech in the Oval Office of the White House. He talked a lot, such as suspending European travel to the United States, announcing a series of measures to reduce the impact of the epidemic on the economy, and building confidence, saying, “We are mobilizing the full power of the federal government and the private sector to protect the American people.” / p>
But it’s just that the US is in a state of emergency.
Under U.S. law, the state enters a state of emergency, which has many advantages for the president.
The announcement of a national emergency means that the federal government led by Trump can use more resources to fight the epidemic and respond more flexibly and quickly. The president can also implement more stringent anti-epidemic measures in the name of the state of emergency. One such example is the $ 50 billion in federal aid quickly promised.
Benefiting himself, why is Trump so overwhelmed and unable to make up his mind?
Informed sources said that the United States has been in a state of emergency for several days. But Trump has his own concerns.
According to a March 11 report on the website of The Political News, three people familiar with the matter revealed that Trump was hesitant and “the president was not convinced because (Emergency Order) Contradicts his message that it is “flu”. “This is tantamount to beating his face publicly; in addition, he is concerned that such an action may increase panic. It could trigger negative economic effects, especially Wall Street’s concerns about the epidemic.
In this case, why is the painting style suddenly changed after another 40 hours?
Because the situation is pressing!
As the epidemic continues to ferment, the Trump administration is getting more and more criticism for poor response.
Trump’s almost paranoid emphasis on “two votes”-stocks and votes-has led him to give many contradictory and misleading public statements in the early days of the epidemic.
From “Black Monday” to “Black Week”
Trump has always been a spokesperson for U.S. stocks. He believes that one of his important achievements is to lead U.S. stocks to a bull market.
For the stock market and support figures, Trump did not hesitate to carry it in the early days of the epidemic, until he couldn’t carry it.
On Monday, March 9th, Eastern time, the Dow in the US stock market broke for the second time in history. Trump’s “small actions” continued, but with little effect.
Look at the US stock black week that just ended.
Trump has been intensive since people around the world have witnessed the second circuit breaker in the history of US stocks.
On March 10, Trump blasted the Federal Reserve and its chairman Powell for “slow action and too little interest rate to save the market.” He made an appointment with the White House press conference as originally agreed, but met with Republican members in Congress, and A formal 0% payroll tax plan was formally proposed from now until the end of this year. After the news was released, the Dow Jones Index rebounded sharply and rose 1000 points late in the trading day.
But the effect of chicken blood is only one day. US stocks continued to fall on Wednesday after the rebound of (Tuesday) on March 10. Xu was “forced”, and President Trump (White House) “opened” at 9pm at home, published by the US media as The speech of the “shake pot” speech. Unexpectedly, the opposite was true. The following day, on Thursday, the U.S. stock market Dow fell sharply again.
In one week, people from all over the world witnessed history twice, and “Black Monday” became “Black Week.”
Every indication shows that at the moment of the severe epidemic, the prescription of “small hits and small troubles” has failed, and only heavy medicine can cure severe illness.
Without any choice, Trump delivered a speech on March 13, local time, at 3:30 pm on Friday, announcing the state of emergency. Half an hour later, US stocks closed, and the Dow rose nearly 2,000 points.
Fortunately, this Friday, March 13 did not become “Black Friday.”
Re-election depends on how to respond to the epidemic
Of course, although he claims to be the spokesperson for U.S. stocks, Trump, who has turned from a big real estate developer to president, is more concerned about the votes behind the stocks.
In this outbreak, the Trump administration has been sharply criticized for its slow response to the crisis. The opponent is also pressing hard.
Some analysts believe that the Democratic Party’s election situation has gradually become clear, and Biden has basically locked the victory.
Biden has begun to thank his party rival Sanders for his tireless efforts to defeat Trump. And in the tone of an ultimate challenger, he attacked Trump’s lack of leadership with a new crown epidemic. Biden said he will soon elaborate his proposed policy for the new crown.
At the same time, Affected by the epidemic, whether this year’s general election can proceed smoothly is full of uncertainty.
Louisiana has announced that it has postponed the primary election from April 4 to June 20.
At present, the enemies are full of turmoil. Whether Trump can be re-elected this year depends on how he responds to the crisis.
In fact, emergencies and other sudden crises generally benefit the current government. You can refer to the election process of Obama’s second term.
But In the past, Trump chose to maintain stability in order to vote-worried about affecting the election, his strategy is to “trail” the word trick, cover up the problem, cover up the epidemic information . Now, seeing that the epidemic in Europe is getting worse, and high-level governments in many countries have been infected with the virus. Under the circumstances that cannot be covered, Trump has declared the country into a state of emergency.
But this has greatly reduced his image.
People or face are important? Trump gave the answer in his March 11 speech.
Face or votes are important? Trump gave the answer again in his March 13 speech.
After announcing the state of emergency, Trump has finally opened up a frontal battlefield against the epidemic, and is active to find the answer.
Where is the answer?
The world is still searching, but can’t help but set their sights on China.
Trump admitted in his speech on the 13th that China has helped the United States. He positively evaluated China’s epidemic prevention and control results and efforts, and believed that China’s epidemic control effect was obvious.
In answering a question from a reporter from China that day, Trump mentioned, “The data (shared by China) is helpful, and we have beenWork closely with China. “
He then explained further, “China has experienced and the data is really improving, and we are also happy about it. In fact, we have shared a lot of data, and some of our pharmaceutical companies are working with a large number of people.” < / p>
Trump finally acknowledges that the U.S. epidemic is “possibly worse” and that “the next 8 weeks are critical.”
In the next eight weeks, because the system operates differently and is constrained and constrained by various factors, it remains to be seen whether the US government ’s response to the epidemic will work.
Since Trump came to power, the United States ’public health and epidemic warning systems have been damaged, and factors such as economic downturns and political turmoil in the election year have made this US war epidemic and the outcome of the war more difficult to predict.
This article is from WeChat public account: China Economic Weekly (ID: ChinaEconomicWeekly) , reporter: Zou Songlin