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More seriously, confirmed cases do not reflect the true outbreak in the United States. Although it has been announced that 1 million detection reagents have been launched all over the United States, the actual results show that all states in the United States still face a serious gap in virus detection capabilities. New York State is the most widely tested virus, with 90,000 tests and 25,000 diagnoses, but in small states such as Ohio, the presence of symptoms does not mean that tests can be obtained.

Under such circumstances, how could the United States come out of the epidemic and restart production in two and a half weeks? Maybe TrumpHe knew it was impossible, but he was more concerned about the American economy than the safety of the people.

Trump said today: “We cannot make the epidemic prevention and control worse than the epidemic, we must open the country, because in my opinion, the shutdown brings more serious problems than new crown pneumonia. If the economy is in recession or Depression, you will lose more people. You will face a lot of conditions and social instability. You cannot let the United States, the world ’s largest economy, shut down … The sooner we resume work, the faster the economy will recover. “

Trump has his own understanding of the new crown pneumonia epidemic. Just two weeks ago he was preaching: “27,000 to 70,000 people die from the flu every year in the United States. There is no shutdown at all, and life and the economy continue.” Yesterday he threw out his theory of a car accident: “The number of traffic accident deaths in the United States is more serious than the epidemic, but this does not mean that we must prevent everyone from driving on the road. ) . “

China and even other countries in the world have confirmed that stopping the economy and cutting off the spread of the virus is the most effective means of prevention and control under severe epidemics. The side effect of this prevention and control method is that the real economy will be paralyzed by the shutdown. However, after the complete shutdown, China gradually came out of the shadow of the epidemic and resumed work in stages on the basis of controlling the epidemic. Singapore and Japan have not stopped, but this is based on being able to effectively prevent and control the spread of the virus.

The United States has not effectively prevented the epidemic, and has not even implemented a national shutdown. It has never even considered national shutdowns. Only California, New York, Illinois, Washington, and several other Democratic-led blue states announced home orders, It is not strictly closed, and the people are still running out at the weekend.

Even the most severely affected New York State has not blocked, and potential or virus carriers can still enter and leave freely. What’s more serious is that the United States cannot even perform basic patient investigations and large-scale tests, let alone accept confirmed cases. Patients are isolated at home as long as they are not seriously ill.The virus cannot be stopped.

It is difficult to imagine what kind of numbers the U.S. epidemic situation will be on April 12, with such loose control measures. It is even harder to imagine what would happen after forced resumption of work in a severe epidemic.

Anthony Fauci, the chief infectious disease expert in the United States, has already mentioned in a media interview that he tends to shut down nationwide and emulates China’s prevention and control methods, but he cannot take the initiative. Fauci hasn’t appeared at the White House’s regular press conference for two days after he talked to Trump, causing much speculation.

Fauci is unlikely to comment again on Trump ’s declaration of forced resumption of work, but other infectious disease experts cannot help but speak up. Tom Inglesby, director of the Center for Health and Safety at Johns Hopkins University, said directly: “Originally, restrictions were weak, and now we are talking about abandoning controls, which is irresponsible and dangerous. If we let the virus spread quickly, the next year There may be millions of deaths, with huge social and economic shocks.

Even Bill Gates, who has always been gentle, also expressed angrily today: “ (prevention and control of epidemic situation) There is no middle way. It is difficult for you Say, go to the restaurant to eat and drink and buy a new house. Do n’t care about those piled bodies over in the corner. Consumption, because maybe a politician sees GDP growth more important than everything counts) .

Why is Trump so stubborn to return to work? He certainly has his own considerations.

The economic shutdown will cause huge losses to the real economy, and a large number of employees will be unemployed due to the closure of business shutdown shops. Economic experts predict that the US economy may contract by 1.3% in the second quarter of this year, and the short-term unemployment rate may even reach 30%. A large unemployment wave will bring serious social security issues.