Unless new financial products emerge based on technology in the future, which can outperform inflation without risk, the house will still be a relatively reliable asset for ordinary people in the future.
07
Q: Will you become a real estate picker in the future?
Answer: As long as you don’t buy third- and fourth-tier or lower-level real estate, there is a high probability that you will not become a picker. Industry and population are the most critical indicators, especially if the population maintains a net inflow for a long time, then houses in this place will surely be sold.
08
Q: Is the Belt and Road real estate investment a trap?
Answer: The Belt and Road Initiative is a national policy. The Tianzhao Project is an essential foundation for China to achieve its goal of becoming a major country in the future and become the world’s largest economy. It is also an important channel for future output capacity under the internal circular economy.
In short, the energy of the Belt and Road Initiative is huge, and it is related to national transport. It takes a long time, at least 10 years to form a scale.
This epidemic has given the world a new understanding of China’s ability to grasp risks, which is beneficial to the image building of the Belt and Road Initiative. After the epidemic is over and the global economy recovers, the One Belt One Road strategy will accelerate its implementation.
Of course, under the One Belt One Road strategy, the authorities have set up many pivot cities, and most of them are quite pitted, because the One Belt One Road requires production capacity output and a mature industrial foundation.
So the third and fourth lines are not considered, and the non-provincial capitals are not considered. For example, Xi’an and Haikou in the future can be focused on.
09
Q: Will the demographic dividend still exist in the future?
Answer: In fact, our country has already encountered a population turning point. Relevant agencies have predicted that the birth rate of newborns in my country is declining year by year, and will fall to less than 11 million in 2030. It is currently accelerating towards an aging society.
But it should be noted that the overall population decline does not mean that the local population declines. Cities like Hangzhou, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Nanjing and other cities have maintained a positive population inflow throughout the year, and everyone can find it. In particular, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou have a net inflow of more than 400,000 people in 2019.
So although the future demographic dividend period is over, for cities, local demographic dividends still exist. However, this will also lead to intensified urban population differentiation and accelerated depletion of cities with weak siphon capacity.