This article comes from the public account Understand Notes (ID: dongdong_note), author Muzi, Ai Faner released with permission.

Fast ticket issuance, light speed ticket grabbing, special line second grabbing …

This is the standard slogan for some ticket-buying software during the Spring Festival. However, before the start of the Spring Festival this year, these ticket-grabbing applications were suddenly put to an end.

In order to prevent ticket rushing software from “disrupting” during the Spring Festival ticket purchase, 12306 has currently “blocked” these applications, blocked many ticket robbing ports at the system level, and launched “official ticket rush” ticket standby Features.

When the news came out, many netizens applauded. Said that there is no ticket-grabbing software “wreaking havoc”, and ticket-buying users will once again stand on the same starting line. At the same time, everyone can also spend a lot of “unjust money” to avoid being “routine” by third-party ticket grabbing software.

However, in the near term, even if 12306 increases the daily ticket sales capacity from 15 million to 20 million, some popular routes still have a difficult ticket.

Some users even said that after the official blocking of ticket-grabbing applications, the ox party seemed to be on the rise again, blatantly reselling train tickets.

What the hell is going on?

Are there new opportunities for oxen?

“The happiest ones are definitely those who are buying tickets (yellow cattle), and the business will be much better this year.”

A Qun, who was engaged in sales in an old motor vehicle market in Chengzhong District, Liuzhou City, was once a professional ox. He told me to understand the notes. In the past, the Spring Festival was the busiest time for him, and of course, the most profitable time.

About four or five years ago, some OTA platforms began to introduce ticket grabbing acceleration tools, and subsequently a number of travel applications also rushed to launch similar applications, and the market space of scalpers was gradually compressed. Initially, all these tools can help users speed up ticket grabbing by simply forwarding help. After that, they need to purchase an acceleration package to increase the “success chance” of ticket grabbing.

“It was only in those two or three years that the cattle business began to deteriorate. My income in 2017 was only half of that in previous years, so I left this line.” A Qun said that with the rise of ticket-grabbing acceleration tools, cattle His business plummeted, and he soon fell into a situation of “more monks and less porridges.”

In his opinion, the scalper is the current ticket, and the acceleration tool is the refund ticket. Although the essence is not the same, they all rely on automated procedures to use a high-efficiency, low-latency dedicated line network and a dedicated server to redeem tickets. , “In the previous year, we rented three servers to capture tickets, and we could take hundreds of tickets for popular routes a day.”

However, most of the ticket grabbing acceleration tools are launched by well-known Internet companies, have a certain popularity and endorsement in the industry, and tickets will not be arbitrarily increased, so they are very popular with users. Even though these functions started to be charged successively, in the eyes of users, ticket-grabbing software is still the most effective way to crack down on the ox party.

A Qun said that the price of each train ticket for cattle is usually increased by 100 ~ 150 yuan, and the price of the ticket grabbing application (acceleration package) is mostly more than 100 yuan. Some OTA ticket grabbing functions also It will be matched with so-called value-added services such as accident insurance, membership fees, and packages. “Roughly calculate that the cost of grabbing a ticket through these applications has also reached one or two times the fare, which is not much cheaper than scalpers.”

However, users still favor those “love and hate” ticket grabbing tools, because these application platforms are relatively “regular” after all, “Some oxen accounted for a large number of tickets in the past two years, and no one bought them in the end. You can only refund your ticket in advance, causing business to plummet.

For the last two years,The ticket grabbing acceleration tool of the OTA platform has defeated the oxen, and has gradually gained the upper hand, but this year, the official government suddenly blocked the ticket grabbing application in a large area, and the oxen seems to have a comeback momentum. What is the reason for this?

A Qun said that because the scalper’s method of buying tickets is the same as that of ordinary users, they also use the official client to purchase tickets. They use some gray production methods to store tickets, which will only be regarded as ordinary by the official system. User purchase behavior. As the ticket-grabbing software was blocked, the oxen quickly offered new tricks and methods, and began to hoard tickets and make money.

Fancy ticket storage avoids system monitoring < / strong>

“You can get it on any popular route, so rest assured.”

Under A Qun’s recommendation, he understood the notes and joined a WeChat group consisting of oxen as a ticket “erdaomonger”. Although the group announcement requires all members to ban “gossip”, when understanding the notes and asking if they can act as agents, there are still several oxen who initiated friend applications.

One of Niu Niu, who is nicknamed “Turbulent,” told me to understand the notes. Currently, many ticket sources have fallen into the hands of Niu Niu. Can get tickets. “

Same as A Qun, Turbulence believes that the ticket grabbing tool has been banned this year, and the ox party really feels exhilarated. He also said that he has purchased new ticket storage equipment and software to ensure the success of ticket acquisition rate.

In addition to the dedicated server and the 100M bandwidth, he and his partners also bought several 5G mobile phones. Dedicated fiber. “

“Turbulence” revealed that the traditional ticket storage equipment and servers are mainly used to seize the tickets just released by the official. 5G mobile phones are more suitable for buying and refunding tickets. Although there are still some concerns about 5G networks, these 5G mobile phones have helped them grab dozens of refunds in recent days.

So, if an average user purchasesCan I easily get a ticket for a 5G mobile phone with a 5G package?

In this regard, “turbulence” indicates that the possibility is very low, because in addition to using 5G devices with faster Internet speeds, the ox party has a powerful automatic ticket-grabbing program.

“The” action “of this automatic ticket-grabbing program is similar to that of human hands, but it is many times faster than human hands. Not only does it prevent ordinary people from thinking about the operation pause, but it also automatically selects the origin of the trip, Destinations, automatically fill in the purchased ID information in batches, “explains Turbulence.

With 5G networks and mobile phones, coupled with powerful ticket-grabbing programs, they have “snapped” some popular lines with a success rate of more than 70%.

“5G ticket grabbing is just an attempt. The mainstream is still traditional dedicated servers and dedicated fiber optic tickets. After all, storing tickets is our advantage. If you want to act as an agent, you must decide early.” Although ticket grabbing tools are banned The business of the oxen improved, but the “turbulence” revealed some hidden concerns.

According to him, it is not ruled out that some program development platforms will develop new acceleration tools for official rules in the future. He has recently seen publicity ads for the new version of the tool on some OTA platforms. “Some apps claim to have supported the official standby ticket grabbing function, and the acceleration package fee has not changed.”

In their view, there may not be much time or opportunity for the oxen, so you must sell the tickets you bought as soon as possible before the ticket rush acceleration tool “comes back”.

Today, 12306 official supervision has become an element of the game between scalpers and ticket grabbing applications. Whether it’s buying tickets in large numbers through fake cattle with fake ID cards, or the OTA platform speeding up ticket purchases through ticket grabbing tools, ordinary users are still “vulnerable groups.”

So, aside from the OTA’s acceleration package, the “scaling ticket” of the ox party, can ordinary users face only the difficult situation of one ticket?

Tips for users to purchase tickets on the official website >

“I bought a ticket to go home last week.”

Yang Ling, who works at a trading company in Nanshan District, Shenzhen, bought a train ticket back to Chaoshan on January 23 on December 29. In other words, she was able to return home and reunite with her family before New Year’s Eve.

Theoretically, the train from Shenzhen to Chaoshan has always been a popular route. Why can she buy a ticket smoothly?

Yang Ling told me to understand the notes. In fact, before buying this ticket, she also considered the ticket grab application, but the query wasThe tickets all showed the words “a small amount” and “buy an acceleration pack”, she simply gave up, “rather than spending so much money to buy an acceleration pack (not 100% successful), it is better than a ox ticket.”

When she was resting at home one day, she accidentally opened the official ticketing platform that she would watch a few times a day, and found that her favorite train showed “There are tickets”, and the order was successful.

p>

Yang Ling said that planning trips and dates in advance, the sooner you can buy tickets, the greater the chance. As long as you plan the return date and purchase tickets in advance when the tickets for the Spring Festival are released, there is still a good chance that you will be able to successfully purchase tickets even if the cattle are “troubled”. “If you ca n’t buy the right time, find a way to return for a few days in advance Home, as long as it is not for the two days of New Year’s Eve, the success rate will be guaranteed.

At Yang Ling’s suggestion, many friends and colleagues around her planned the return time in advance and tried to “accommodate” the rules of the Spring Festival. Therefore, they basically bought suitable tickets.

“In the past few years, the railway transportation capacity of the Spring Festival has greatly increased, but it is still difficult to meet the travel needs of everyone.” Some people in the industry said that no matter whether it is the official or the travelling passenger, they have not been able to fight with the Ox Party for many years. The fundamental reason for the elimination was that the railway transportation capacity could not bear the concentrated outbreak of returning passenger flows during the Spring Festival.

The Opinions on Promoting the Spring Festival Transport in 2020, issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments, predicted that the number of passenger shipments during the Spring Festival transport nationwide will reach approximately 3 billion in 2020, a slight increase from the previous year. Among them, road transportation was 2.43 billion person-times, a decrease of 1.2%; rail transportation was 440 million person-times, an increase of 8%.

Solving train capacity problems cannot be achieved overnight, and official ticket sales platforms will continue to struggle with ticket-grabbing software and scalpers. In the future, at least one point is beyond doubt. As the technical capabilities of the official ticketing platform continue to grow and the ticket sales management system is not perfect, the cattle will not exist for a long time, and the dilemma of returning to hometown that is difficult to obtain will also become history.