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The United States has held 18 Super Tuesday polls since 1984. This year’s “Super Tuesday” is a cut-off for the Republican Party. As the “Trumpization” trend within the party has become increasingly apparent, Trump has a solid position in the party. Nine states have cancelled the party’s primary election and determined to support it. Trump is a Republican candidate. In this vote, Trump swept 10 states to get 859 promised representatives votes, while his competitors received only one, and he can be sure to win easily in the party primaries.
But “ Super Tuesday” is more like a “big battle” in the party between the “institutional” and “progressive” parties. Already in the heat .
This year’s “Super Tuesday” voting includes votes from 14 states as well as American Samoa and overseas Democrats, of which 14 states generated a total of 1,338 Promised Votes, American Samoa produced 6 Promised Votes, and Overseas Democrats People produced 13 promised representative votes. This time there will be 1,357 promised representative votes, accounting for one-third of the 3979 votes required in the party’s primary election. It is also a step away from winning the 1991 votes required in the party’s primary election. It can be seen that the results of the Democratic Super Tuesday vote will largely determine who will appear in the Democratic National Congress in July and eventually become a Democratic presidential candidate to challenge Trump.
Although the Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina primaries have been advanced in advance, they are regarded as the “wind vane” of Democratic primary competition. However, due to demographic composition, ethnic distribution, etc. Does not have a wide range of representation and diversity, and the “Super Tuesday” states promise to have a large number of votes, a wide geographical coverage, and multi-ethnic voters. The elections in these states will be a test of the Democratic candidate ’s election trend. “Watershed”.
This “watershed” will become an important basis for influential groups and donors to choose who to support. It will also help the already-elected candidates in the second half of the primaries to achieve a stronger Matthew. Effect “to help them stand out as quickly as possible.
The situation in the Democratic primary election isThe twists and turns before Super Tuesday this year are both unexpected and unexpected.
Unexpectedly, the prospect of a “constitutionalist” candidate, former vice president Biden, is in peril, and Sanders, who is not a promising “progressive” candidate, slams forward. Despite his lackluster performance in several debates, Biden has been recognized as a popular candidate for his decades of political influence and deep connections within the party, but only won fourth place in Iowa in the primaries. The dismal performance of the fifth place in New Hampshire led Biden to be underestimated by the American media and heavyweights in the party. And “progressive” candidate Sanders, holding the banner of “democratic socialism,” has won Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada in succession, which has swept the states to win the primary election in advance. This has caused the Democratic establishment forces to worry very much that if the radical policy Sanders gets a nomination for the presidential candidate, the Democratic Party will be in danger forever.
Unsurprisingly, the integration of the “institutionalists” in the Democratic Party is not only rapid but also vigorous. Facing the declining situation of the establishment, the “institutional” forces within the party realized that if they did not integrate the forces before “Super Tuesday”, Sanders would be an irresistible candidate for the party’s presidential election, which may eventually lead to the Democratic Party in The future presidential election will suffer a fiasco. With public support from the U.S. House of Representatives Majority Whip and South Carolina Rep. Cleburne, Biden changed the slump in previous primaries and won the state with a big victory. This not only became a turning point in Biden’s elections, but also a key battle in which the Democratic “institutionalists” were determined to unite in support of Biden to stop the “progressives.”
After Biden’s victory, Harry Reid, the former Democratic Senate leader, and other heavyweights in the party have expressed their support for Biden. Candidates such as Federal Senator Krobuchar and former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Buttigieg and others have withdrawn before Super Tuesday and announced their support for Biden. This kind of weather-marking move not only shows that the integration of Biden’s “institutionalism” forces is accelerating, but also gives Biden a strong shot in the election of “Super Tuesday”.
From the preliminary results of Super Tuesday, Biden won Alabama, Arkansas, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, 10 states including Virginia and Texas, while Sanders won only 4 states including Vermont, Utah, Colorado, and California. According to data from the National Broadcasting Corporation (NBC) , Biden has committed representatives in Texas, North Carolina, and Virginia The states with many votes have all achieved major victories. The other three candidates, Bloomberg, Warren and Gabad, performed poorly. BloomBerg announced his withdrawal from the election.
It can be said that Biden has achieved a super-reversal on “Super Tuesday” and has once again become the leader of the Democratic primary election.
Biden’s election “open low and go high”, there are many reasons for the great reversal.
First, Biden has strong political resources and connections. Biden was first elected to the Senate of the State of Delaware in 1972, and was elected to the post for (1973 ~ 2009) He has held important positions such as the chairman of the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee, and then served as vice president with Obama for 8 years. Rich political experience has helped Biden accumulate extensive contacts and huge prestige, and has also become Biden’s only magic weapon to reverse the adverse situation of the primary election. On the eve of “Super Tuesday”, the support of the heavyweights in the party and the integration of the “institutionalist” forces reflected this.
Second, there is huge support for Biden by black voters. Biden has been the deputy of black President Barack Obama for 8 years, and has a natural affinity among black voters. Data show that 60% to 70% of black voters choose to firmly support Biden. This made Biden’s victory in a large number of black states such as Virginia, North Carolina and Alabama necessary. The third is the consensus of Democrats to defeat Trump. According to media interviews at the poll exit, the biggest wish of Democratic voters in this vote is to choose a strong presidential candidate that can defeat Trump. Biden’s popularity, influence, ability to balance, and the ability to unite the forces within the Democratic Party to the maximum have made it necessary.
“Progressive” Sanders sang all the way before “Super Tuesday” and always claimed to be the best candidate for the Democratic primary, but the results of “Super Tuesday” showed that Sanders’ election campaign showed Drive down “trend. Deep down, there should be several reasons.
First, the efficiency of converting vitality into votes is not high. Sanders has attracted support from a large number of grassroots, younger groups, and Latin Americans through progressive left-leaning policies such as universal medical insurance, waiver of tuition fees for public universities, raising minimum wages, and use of clean energy. vote.
The second is to support the “Achilles heel” of voters. Sanders did not attract more black support, which became the difficulty for him to obtain the support of most black states. This was his biggest weakness, which greatly limited his election. Based on this, even American media believe that Sanders’s campaign has encountered a “ceiling”.
Three is politics